ldub23

We need to lock this in

Hopefully the cold will produce something for SEVA and NENC

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025011318&fh=150

I will take an average of the Euro and GFS

Its how we get a snowstorm here. NNE wind https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-met&rh=2025011212&fh=246&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

Another thing that never happens any longer are MillerA's where most of my snow came from. I can remember many times the local weatherman talking about a storm forming in the NE GOM that was going to intensify off GA and it was common to have gale and even storm warnings along the coast 3 or 4 times a winter. They never happen now. One of my best memories was of a storm back around the late 60's. I was coming home from 7th grade on the bus and it started as rain and quickly went tosleet then snow and we got 3 inches before the rain. Overnight the wind was howling at 50+ and around 3 am the wind switched to NNE. I was watching the kitchen window for the sleet to start hitting the window. Soon it was pouring huge snowflakes and we got another 3 inches. Those type storms were common, now they never happen.

Another thing to look at is wind direction. When i woke up at 2am last night and saw the wind was south at6mph at Patrick Henry i knew we were going straight to rain within minutes. 99.9% of our all snow events occur with a NNE wind. Anymore east and its a guarantee the rain will come.

I was amazed at how fast it changed to rain in Newport news near the James River Bridge.

sleet and rain wins again here. Seems to be mostly rain with the thin snow on the roads quickly melting. Maybe 1.5 of snow before the rain. All rain now it seems. Odd how the radars insist its snowing, lol. This winter is worse than the last 4. I would rather have nothing than ugly slop. Raining hard now

Unless something changes alot 4-6 seems very unlikely, 2 will probably do it here. Just light stuff to the west.

Snow in NN. Already a dusting

3 inches is what i consider a snowstorm here. Wakefield was saying mixing is most likely south of Norfolk. North VAB could be the big winner if they stay snow.

Raleigh wx He updated the B to 2-5 with isolated 6

ICON sucked for everyone. Rain here and little precip at RIC

4 would be amazing here.

Hopefully it is accurate. It seems to be reliable

Unless it gets worse tomorrow i may get 2-3

Looks like it keeps precip all snow from here to RIC but its light snow. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025010806&fh=75

Yep more north. I have a feeling this will be an exact repeat

For SE VA this is a good track. GFS will probably end up more north

ICON hits central NC pretty good. 1-2 here seems possible. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-met&rh=2025010712&fh=90&r=atl&dpdt=&mc=

ICON says i finally get a winter storm, GFS says wait till 2026

No

They closed for rain here as well. Tonight might be worse because temps will drop after any snow that falls. Sat will be a slopfest at best.

They closed the schools here for wet roads. What a joke. Im sure nearer RIC there is ice on roads. None here at all