ldub23

Im in se va and there is no way im getting 6-10 inches. All rain here.

I think the FV3 needs alot of work. I wouldnt count on that considering it seems much worse than the regular GFS.

Friday could be very similar to 1998 Bonnie here.

Its just odd that they arent seeing what TWC is seeing

Just checked Wakefield and they are only saying a few snow showers are possible in NE forecast area Tues. .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Low confidence forecast beyond Monday as 12z/11 suite of models are having a difficult time in resolving differences wrt handling of a strong upper trough/closed low digging across the Great Lakes/Northeast next week. Will lean toward a blend of the 12z GFS/GEFS/CMC which all seem to be in reasonable agreement with the aforementioned trough/closed low pivoting SE to a centralized position over Lake Erie by 12z Tues. From there, this feature slowly lifts NE into New England by 12z Thurs. In doing so, it will force a cold front through the local area on Tues with high pressure returning next Wed/Thu. What remains to be seen as whether or not the front produces any pcpn as it passes on Tues, as it would probably be cold enough aloft to generate some snow showers (at least NE of the I-64 corridor). Have placed some low PoPs in these areas. Otherwise, next week is looking dry and chilly. Highs Monday from the mid 30s N to low 40s S. Highs Tuesday from the mid 30s N to the mid 40s south. Highs next Wed/Thu in the 30s. Lows through the period primarily in the teens and 20s. Thats from the afternoon disco

Hope the temps start dropping.

Yea, looked pretty pathetic here with nothing just west of the coast. He also showed gfs and euro accumulations and they werent much either. I guess he just decided to assume NWS was right to issue a watch.

No need for complaints. Many people in the SE have already had more snow than normal for winter.