ldub23

Looks like its moving more east than se.

More rain here. Maybe a flurry later but Alaska has gone into the freezer so a big warm-up is coming here. This is fairbanks and they are way below normal. We need a real pattern change if anything is going to happen in Feb Today Flurries after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near -9. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Tonight Flurries. Partly cloudy, with a low around -22. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph after midnight. Saturday Flurries. Mostly sunny, with a high near -20. Wind chill values as low as -45. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Saturday Night Flurries before 9pm. Mostly clear, with a low around -33. Wind chill values as low as -50. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Sunday Sunny, with a high near -32. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning. Sunday Night Patchy freezing fog after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around -41. Monday Patchy freezing fog before 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near -32. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around -37. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near -31. Tuesday Night A slight chance of snow after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -33. Wednesday A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near -27. Wednesday Night A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -38. Thursday A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near -30.

06 gfs doesnt even have a snow flurry for se va on friday. Hopefully by feb 28 2025 we will have an accumulating snow 12Z nada

18Z euro was a bit interesting for friday

I have given up on accumulating snow till next winter. Just hoping for a flurry now.

GFS is more aggressive with the changeover than 18z

Nothing here of course, but still ok in RIC

I will wait and see what the 18z gfs shows if anything. One thing is certain, there is going to be a warm up after the snowless cold in se va. Im glad it looks like RIC will get at least several inches. I was really hoping for 1 last cold snowy winter in Newport News as i have no idea the time i have left, lol A the end of the gfs the cold comes back but will it matter if it does?

Still holding out hope for a miracle on 06 GFS

The trend is still good enough in the HRRR

This reminds me of a situation back around 1971 but my memory fails a bit. Then we had an arctic boundary that stalled to the SE and for a week we had cold with occasional snow showers but little accumulation. Then an upper low came over and dumps 2.5 inches just after school started. Lots of similarities to the upcoming week.

I like this look. There is plenty of Actual cold air around this time.

06 GFS better with several snow chances 102 162 This at 204

ITS been a few years since we had a cold winter pattern and there is still no sign we will have one this winter. 2 or 3 days of cold isnt a pattern change and th warm is coming back

06GFS still looks good for RIC

In se va we will get the worst weather possible. Bitter cold and nothing to show for it. Good Ric will get snow. RIC may end up with a foot+ thru 16 days

Looks like central va will get a good snow. More snow!!

Hopefully the trend will be good today

18 GFS has several opportunities for inland areas and ends like this

After a few days of cold and dry its right back to rain and warm. We get far more tornado watches in Jan/feb than winter advisories now, lol

Soon it will be February. Hard to believe we will have 1000+days without an inch of snow.

Getting better

More cold overall

This seems so much like last seasons snowless winter. A 2-3 day cold spell followed by warm.

Im out till the NWS has snow in its 7 day forecast. Might till 2025 lol Nothing and now the consensus is at the end of the run it warms up so now we have to wait till feb for the pattern change while the seasonal warmup begins