Jump to content

Blue Ridge

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,565

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Blue Ridge

  1. Blue Ridge
    Watching this cold advance in real-time through the Plateau will be interesting.
  2. Blue Ridge
    A note for all trying to predict MRX’s next move: The overnight AFD and update package usually hits around 0300. As with the afternoon suite, this is sometimes delayed during active weather. Highly unlikely we see any alteration to the warning/advisory package until then.
  3. Blue Ridge
    From https://www.weather.gov/mrx/watchwarnadv:
  4. Blue Ridge
    Santa came early... Edit to add: Map hasn't yet updated. Looks like they upgraded watch to warning and SPS to WWA except the furthest SW counties (incl. Hamilton). Edit 2: To recap: WSW for 2-4", locally higher depending on elevation; WWA for 1-3"; SPS remains for minimal accumulations and hazardous travel. Edit 3: Map just updated.
  5. Blue Ridge
    Adding to this for those unfamiliar or new: MRX generally issues its afternoon AFD, advisory/warning products, and forecast updates around 3:00 pm. For storms such as this, they do have a tendency to push a bit (I've seen as late as 4:00 pm).
  6. Blue Ridge
    Also worth noting that GSP issued a Winter Storm Watch (2-5", wind gusts to 40 MPH) for Avery, Madison, Mitchell, and Yancey, NC.
  7. Blue Ridge
    Charleston, WV (RLX)
  8. Blue Ridge
    Still too early for WWAs. Even if they decide on warning-criteria for the mtns, a watch isn't likely until the overnight/AM at best. We won't see WWA or WSW products until tomorrow PM at best, and possibly not until the mid-evening update or overnight/AM.
  9. Blue Ridge
    If you're taking requests from the peanut gallery... Dandridge Dollop or Dandridge Destroyer both have a nice ring.
  10. Blue Ridge
    The 75 corridor, especially north, has been pretty consistently in the game with each model run. If a stronger, more amplified solution like the NAM presents comes to fruition, you're in a very good spot. Edit to add: I'll echo the caveat @Carvers Gap mentioned - microclimate oddities do apply...
  11. Blue Ridge
    Not to mention, the heat island seems to follow the river through the valley a ways. You double dip on unfortunate circumstances. Yet, seems like we have a few storms a decade in which SWVA and Sullivan are crushed while anything south of the Sullco/Washco border are blanked.
  12. Blue Ridge
    Hi, @bluegrassweather71! Welcome. @Carvers Gap hit the nail on the head. MRX are the kings/queens of hedging, but this is a situation in which it is certainly warranted. Given the high uncertainty, conservatism is warranted.
  13. Blue Ridge
    Nice little shower rotating through right now. Might be enough moisture out there to make sunset interesting tonight.
  14. Blue Ridge
    The best moisture and lift remained concentrated south and west of roughly this line: I’ve seen a few reports from Greene Co. and Washington Co. of 3” or better. Family in lower Unicoi Co. have damn near 4”. Meanwhile, Kingsport and Gray are lucky to have an inch, while friends in NW JC are reporting 1.5”. As odd as it looked, I believe MRX was right to exclude Johnson County from the WSW area.
  15. Blue Ridge
    6” on Roan Mtn [edit: specifies 3700’ - that’s not quite at the summit]
  16. Blue Ridge
    Interesting pulse rotating through right now...
  17. Blue Ridge
    A solid 2” event IMBY. Main roads are well treated, but side roads are fairly slick. Woke up at 0400 and it was absolutely ripping. Should have gotten outside for a measurement while it was fresh; judging solely on appearance, I’m guessing a bit was lost. Like Holston mentioned above, the grass has that splotchy look already.
  18. Blue Ridge
    From the 9:00 PM AFD update: Further east in the Valley, the system looks to have slightlyover-performed as a few locations have reported 1.0-1.5 inches. You don’t say.
  19. Blue Ridge
    Ripping for the last hour. Went from nada to half an inch.
  20. Blue Ridge
    O_o
  21. Blue Ridge
    Nothing on cams yet.
  22. Blue Ridge
    Snow/graupel mix at 35°
  23. Blue Ridge
    Good stuff! Looks like a nice little pulse rotating through now. PWS per Wunderground shows temps around 35°-36° around the 2500’ elevation mark. Any idea what elevation you are? Keep us updated! .
  24. Blue Ridge
    48 to 42 in two hours here in Jboro with absolutely wicked wind.
  25. Blue Ridge
×
×
  • Create New...