LibertyBell

Yes, and an unfavorable Pacific seems to happen more frequently than a favorable one. Later in the season, we also have shortening wavelengths, so it's easier to have an omega block pattern (trough-west, ridge-center, trough-east)

So that's why we see those pictures of 10+ feet of snowfall coming from places like Sapporo!

Chris, is that why when you compare our climate to the far east (Korean peninsula, Hokkaido, Japan, etc.) they get far more snow than we do at the same latitude- because Eurasia is so large that it negates the effects of the Atlantic to the west. While North America is a small continent by comparison and not large enough to block out the effects of the Pacific Ocean to its west?

2010-11 had two storms, one 20" and one 19" There was a third storm that dumped about 10" here but up to 20" on Central LI

well the world is round-- he'll get to the finish line (eventually)!

Will was that 1921 storm the Feb 1921 three day storm that dumped 18" of a mixture of snow, sleet and ice? What an unbelievable storm that was!

must have been a highly amplified pattern! winter 1979-80 was pretty boring though

isn't that what causes manhole explosions?

I actually think we get more emotionally tied because it's something we have no control over. Think about this.... if we could control the outcome, wouldn't the weather be much less interesting? We humans are wired in all sorts of interesting ways.

Indeed and because of the technologically sophisticated society we exist in, it begins very early, even before children reach school age. It really is a kind of experiment, where you see brain development change because of the impact of technology on young minds. What this means for the future (we are seeing the results already) should probably be left to OT.... or the climate change forum, which seems to be a bucket for various philosophical and metaphysical discussions lol.

Psychologically speaking, it must be an escape for them, sort of like sports. Some people seem to emotionally seesaw based on the results of their favorite sports teams too. It's an escape from the reality that bombards them on a daily basis. This becomes their support group.

How soon they forget that some of our greatest winters began after January 20th..... which is becoming more like the new norm.

This is exactly why I've been pondering the idea of what a warmer climate may mean, particularly since the oceans act as heat sinks and they get the brunt of it first. You can also see this with rising humidity levels/dew points and larger slower moving storms that dump much more precipitation. Bigger snowstorms and bigger rainstorms, and in general greater extremes.

interesting that it's right up there with 1976- a dry and cold winter! The 70s were lackluster for snow, with the exception of 77-78 which was much more like our current winters. 76-77 was particularly annoying, as was 78-79; both were very cold and we got scraped with the edges of snowfall. Chris, I wanted to ask if you had any info on the Oct 10, 1979 snowfall event. How did that hit DC and Philly and Boston and yet skipped over NYC and Long Island? Very early anomalous event, maybe the most exciting of that entire season

they get the snow but we all get the snow and wind. I hate dry cold windy weather- I have my house heat AND my space heater going at the same time.

I dont know about the other models, but the CFS doesn't do well until you're already at the end of the month prior to the month it's forecasting for lol.

yes but it's always for suffolk county, although I saw some flurries yesterday with clear skies!

while it's bright and sunny here lol

stuck this in the subforum also: I also think the various indices (ENSO/PDO/AO, etc.) are resulting in different outcomes and we should be very cautious when we use analogs older than about 30 years. There are some warm blobs in the oceans that seem to hang around from year to year. The gulf stream is also warming more quickly than other parts of the ocean (more bombogenesis and higher precip outcomes? we're already seeing it.)

I also think the various indices (ENSO/PDO/AO, etc.) are resulting in different outcomes and we should be very cautious when we use analogs older than about 30 years. There are some warm blobs in the oceans that seem to hang around from year to year. The gulf stream is also warming more quickly than other parts of the ocean (more bombogenesis and higher precip outcomes? we're already seeing it.)

2010-11 was great that way too

and that is a very stable pattern- once it sets in it's very hard to dislodge... cold Novembers around here have often led to winters like that.

I was so shocked to hear this. He had so much to offer, and such a wonderful life ahead of him. The best ones always go way too soon.....

haha I'm not a big fan of genetic modification of humans, seems a bit, shall we say, nazi-like. I'm not even a huge fan of doing it to other creatures (why must humans mess with nature? it always comes out badly for us.....)