Jump to content

LibertyBell

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    35,630

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    it's been moving southeast!
  2. LibertyBell
    Our snow season is January and February. Patience. Anything before that or after it is a bonus.
  3. LibertyBell
    this is recycled cold air, not true arctic air. Even Albany was in the low 30s throughout and they had 40 hours of snow! why are our longest highest precip storms mixed precip and not all snow?
  4. LibertyBell
    yep, probabilities are highest of getting 1-3" in this kind of pattern, thats why you see tv mets go on the conservative side- they have the most chance of verifying.
  5. LibertyBell
    in this age of megastorms, we've also had a lot of 1-3" events just like this what we've missed out on is the moderate to low level significant events- a la events of 4-6" or 6-9" we either get 1-3" or less or 10" + The Poconos busted too, they were supposed to get over a foot and got less than 6.
  6. LibertyBell
    it's still snowing here lol! totally worth it even if changed over hours after the city did- we didn't go all snow until 2:30 PM its been snowing here steadily since 8 PM! even when it switched to rain on the north shore lol any idea why there was a warm bubble of rain around JFK for a few hours between noon and 2:30 PM while it was snowing to the south, north, east and west? all the trees are caked in snow here, parking lots and drive ways also covered, but all the roads are clean aside from the edges
  7. LibertyBell
    shades aren't just for the summer ;-)
  8. LibertyBell
    I think it's just rain here now but not going to use my ass to test it lol. Could still be freezing rain, but whatever is falling is not making any noise.
  9. LibertyBell
    we thought the NAM might be the best model for this storm
  10. LibertyBell
    we thought the NAM might have this ;-) hope it's right about tomorrow too!
  11. LibertyBell
    Thanks Walt. I figured intuitively that when the ground gets wet it matches the wet bulb temp so that should be the highest temp freezing rain can fall, wet bulb=32! Also, when it's falling really hard, rain may not freeze even when the temp is below 32! (by a couple degrees).
  12. LibertyBell
    funny thing is trying to figure out where the mix line will set up is usually the tough part!
  13. LibertyBell
    How much does the convection influence where the low sets up? There's been some discussion of short term changes based on that.
  14. LibertyBell
    and the I-95 mets never lived that one down lol. After that storm all of our local outlets went extremely conservative with their snowfall forecasts. You never see a call of more than 6-12 inches on TV around here, regardless of what the models show, until we're right in the middle of the storm.
  15. LibertyBell
    2-3 or 1-3 is what a lot of the forecasts had. Latest is they're talking about perhaps having to tick their forecasts upward based on what happens tomorrow.
  16. LibertyBell
    Looks like the models were (for the most part) correct.
  17. LibertyBell
    Thanks that must be it- it was below freezing for several hours last night. I thought it had something to do with the dew point lol, that the surface cools down to the dew point when precip is falling! Maybe it cools down to the wet bulb temp instead?
  18. LibertyBell
    How do we get freezing rain at 33? And what's the highest temp you can have freezing rain at?
  19. LibertyBell
    I guess we know exactly where that mix line is......
  20. LibertyBell
    freezing rain with sleet mixed back in here now as the rates increased
  21. LibertyBell
    precip got a lot heavier and now its a combo of sleet and freezing rain here
  22. LibertyBell
    It's not snowing out by you? It's heavy freezing rain here. I slipped outside lol
  23. LibertyBell
    heavier rates must have cooled down the midlevels. It's heavy freezing rain here.
  24. LibertyBell
    oops I thought it was heavy rain here, but it's actually heavy FREEZING rain, I slipped and fell on my ass when I stepped out the door!
  25. LibertyBell
    100% rain here, there was a bit of sleet mixed in at the start.
×
×
  • Create New...