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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    I think I'm in a good place being on the extreme western part of the south shore
  2. LibertyBell
    anything other than snow would be a very insignificant part of the storm outside of the twin forks and south of ocean county
  3. LibertyBell
    the snow is gonna be too wet to do that. I'm pretty confident we stay all snow but no way is this going to be over 2 feet and even 20 inches is a very long shot
  4. LibertyBell
    you should write more, writing improves your memory which I discovered accidentally when i started keeping a dream diary and realized I dreamed 20 or more times a night AND I'm not an old timer! I loathe the baby boomers and everything they stand for. I just told one in the financial industry the other day "the world would be a much better place if your parents' generation knew how to use condoms!"
  5. LibertyBell
    fwiw they shouldn't be using lithium, I already complain about lithium batteries in my cameras lol. The technology isn't as developed as NiMH and NiMH batteries last a lot longer- like more than 20 years while lithium batteries (for cameras anyway) fail within 10 years regardless of how often you charge them. I also hate proprietary batteries where you're forced to buy from the manufacturer. so now I've resorted to printing my own dummy batteries using a 3D printer and adapting them to work on AC power which is of course far more reliable than lithium batteries (since they are dummy batteries they dont contain any lithium of course, they just fool the camera into thinking they are lithium batteries and are connected to a power supply which I plug into an outlet. I also made one of these that works on usb power from a laptop or phone and one that works on DC power from a car cig lighter.)
  6. LibertyBell
    yeah I cant see anyone in the CWA getting less than 6 out of this
  7. LibertyBell
    shades of Jan 2016
  8. LibertyBell
    Monday is going to be exciting, looks like this is going to be a photogenic all day windy snowstorm
  9. LibertyBell
    it was way too far south before so naturally it's going to correct itself to the middle. icon? lol I thought that's Ant's model to use when he's being desperate for a snowy solution
  10. LibertyBell
    Nam isn't really the poster child for accuracy lol, besides isn't it getting discontinued soon?
  11. LibertyBell
    there's no such things as trends, I think this was pretty well proven. The models just jump around an average or mean and move towards the middle, which is what the correct solution will be
  12. LibertyBell
    I used to read about these storms during my college years using the NY Times on microfiche and enjoyed reading the weather forecasts from back then!
  13. LibertyBell
    So true Ed! Could you imagine having a 120 mile "super marathon" from one end of the island to the other?! I wonder if we could divide the entire region into smaller groupings based on "official" reporting locations and then see which area jackpots in what percentage based on that....however we then run into the problem of their being no airports on the north shore so we have to look at co-op records and they dont go that far back. For the sake of simplicity...maybe we could do something like this....let JFK represent the south shore of Nassau County, LGA represent the north shore of Nassau County, Islip represents center island, FOK represents the south shore of Suffolk County and the co-op at Mt Sinai represents the north shore of Suffolk County. Then we can add NYC for the city of course and EWR to represent NE NJ. MJX to represent the Jersey Coast. MMU represents near NW NJ and FWN represents far NW NJ. For the Hudson Valley we could use a combo of Poughkeepsie, Newburg, White Plains, Montgomery and Monticello and Bridgeport and New Haven for the CT coast. Add in Danbury if you also want an interior Western CT representative. This gives us a total of 13 subregions.
  14. LibertyBell
    1977-78 was like an early version of the modern years. Funny thing that in 1977-78 it was a huge deal to get two double digit snowstorms (both were blizzards too.) 1960-61 had three, but I cant think of any others from that previous era with multiple double digit events.
  15. LibertyBell
    yes! just checked euro again it has 12-15 inches for your area, same as what it has for NYC-Long Island lol
  16. LibertyBell
    PC with two screens lol....just saw the Euro and it has an interesting output....20-24 inches both NW of here in the Poconos and just south of here in Monmouth County (of course!) with "only" a foot across western and central Long Island. If the Poconos gets 2 feet you're bound to get good snows up there too.
  17. LibertyBell
    that was amazing too, my biggest memory of that storm is coming home from school and both my parents were at work and my door wouldn't open, the lock was frozen or stuck or something. I waited for my mother to come home and by then it had already started snowing and I was just sitting there freezing in the snow. She tried to open the door and she couldn't open it either lol so we both sat there for awhile until family friends got home and then we went to stay with them. We didn't finally get into our house until around 6 PM when my dad got home and he was able to open the door!
  18. LibertyBell
    I remember that- it was snow here. That was such an onslaught of storms from December thru March never experienced by me before.
  19. LibertyBell
    EPS normally reports lower totals than the OP right? I remember this being a characteristic of ensembles.
  20. LibertyBell
    I think someone said it was back in the 60s, but we actually got really close to a 30.0 average over 30 years and the last time that happened was back in the late 1800s! A strong argument can be made that our 30 year average was actually over 30 inches with how NYC does with snowfall measurements.
  21. LibertyBell
    Indeed, even 4 inches felt like a lot back then!
  22. LibertyBell
    I would have loved to be alive then, going from the historic 1966 summer to the historic 1966-67 winter, Christmas snowstorm and then lots of snow and cold in February and March.
  23. LibertyBell
    biggest thing about 12/95 was that LGA got 14" and NYC only got 8" JFK had 7" even with the mixing and a plane slid off the runway and right into Jamaica Bay. It went from snow to mix/rain and then back to snow on the second day and that's when the accident happened. It kicked off two weeks of severe cold that peaked around the time of the big Jan 1996 blizzard. It was so cold that even here on the south shore the snow and ice cover persisted throughout the entire holiday season. and then you probably remember all the flooding (included a supermarket collapse in Massapequa) and severe wx that happened after that (a week or two later) with temps in the upper 60s and then back to snow and cold at the end of Jan which then persisted through Feb, March and early April! That early April storm was one of my favorites, watched the Yankee home opener during it and 5 inches fell here. 1993-94 had two storms every week for the entire winter, lots of mixed storms one big ice storm and two nice snowstorms including one with a ton of thundersnow and 2-4 inch per hour rates in the middle of the day and we ran out of salt lol. Multiple lows below 0 in two arctic outbreaks and one really weird SE'er where it went from below 0 to mid 50s with 50 mph gusts within 24 hours lol.
  24. LibertyBell
    40 inches in the Poconos? thats just crazy lol
  25. LibertyBell
    Feb 1983 was my first snowstorm on Long Island and I waited for the next one like that for 13 years. Feb 1983 happened when I was in 4th grade, Jan 1996 happened when I was in grad school......longest 13 years of my life and of course when you're a kid 13 years seems to pass a hell of a lot slower than it does when you're in your 30s and 40s lol.
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