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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    I guess we know exactly where that mix line is......
  2. LibertyBell
    freezing rain with sleet mixed back in here now as the rates increased
  3. LibertyBell
    precip got a lot heavier and now its a combo of sleet and freezing rain here
  4. LibertyBell
    It's not snowing out by you? It's heavy freezing rain here. I slipped outside lol
  5. LibertyBell
    heavier rates must have cooled down the midlevels. It's heavy freezing rain here.
  6. LibertyBell
    oops I thought it was heavy rain here, but it's actually heavy FREEZING rain, I slipped and fell on my ass when I stepped out the door!
  7. LibertyBell
    100% rain here, there was a bit of sleet mixed in at the start.
  8. LibertyBell
    I wonder if they're surprised?
  9. LibertyBell
    Indeed this is why you dont drive today. The most accidents happen in low snowfall totals (under 1") and in icy conditions.
  10. LibertyBell
    so you did change to snow when the higher rates came! I'm a bit more enthused about tomorrow based on the modeling trends.
  11. LibertyBell
    Yes, that matches up with ground obs nicely!
  12. LibertyBell
    Yes, I think it is used in Europe for their heat index calculations (which are more complex and also take into account wind speed and the angle of the sun above the horizon!)
  13. LibertyBell
    ah okay! So the wet bulb only equals the dew point when the relative humidity is 100%, at which point they both intersect with the actual temperature! wait, I reread the definition for wet bulb you posted and it is also always either equal to or lower than the actual temp? can wet bulb be used in place of dew point for heat index calculations?
  14. LibertyBell
    Looks like an uptick from the earlier edition, we're getting in on some of that banding even on Long Island.
  15. LibertyBell
    No wonder Mt Holly issued that alert! An old style 80s snowstorm with more snow in Philly AND Boston. Snow to the south of us and snow to the North of us, and rain in between It's all rain here now.
  16. LibertyBell
    I think it's just rain here now.
  17. LibertyBell
    based on that definition, the wet bulb temperature seems to be same as the dew point?
  18. LibertyBell
    Jan 1996 and Feb 1983 must have been great there too. There have been 4 20"+ storms here since 1983- Feb 1983, Jan 1996, Feb 2003 (PD2), Jan 2016, which was the best with over 30" Got screwed over in Feb 2006 with half the totals the city got. Jan 2011- do you mean Boxing Day? That was 18" here, close but not 20" Have only had 10" after February twice- March 1993 which changed to rain and March (1) 2009 which was just barely 10" here.
  19. LibertyBell
    The revised disco coming out of Philly was alarming, they said there could be "large changes" to their forecast for Monday, because of the growing threat of a narrow band of 1-2" per hour rates there for several hours for a total of 4-6+ inches
  20. LibertyBell
    PA is a skating rink, I-81 is closed now with 0.1" ice.
  21. LibertyBell
    Looks like my other home in Carbon County, near Penn Forest Township is the furthest south county that has all snow? My home there is 2,000 ft asl so that helps.
  22. LibertyBell
    On my frozen pond I can see ice pellets and a little coating of snow. But it's a dusting, nothing more.
  23. LibertyBell
    wow even I got 5 inches in that one, so I guess yours is worse than mine. I've always thought that being just west of Staten Island would be a great spot for snow- your totals dont match Newark's I take it?
  24. LibertyBell
    well think about it this way, if the SST that far south are still in the upper 80s and low 90s, how could August SST be even warmer than that? It's probably that the temps get that hot in August and stabilize near there until October. Thats how you get cat 5s coming out of the GOM in October like Michael and also going into Central America or even into the Southeast. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Category_5_Atlantic_hurricanes#Listed_by_month 6 of them in October, almost the equal of August (7), and significantly trailing only September (21). The first Cat 5 in the historical records is actually an October hurricane. Heck, there's even a November Cat 5 in that list! Michael, Matthew, Mitch and Wilma were all famous October Cat 5s.
  25. LibertyBell
    How did you do in the April storm of the prior year, April 1996? That one got areas to your south in Monmouth with 6-9 inches.
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