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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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My first experience with thundersnow and extreme snowfall rates! It's why I love daytime snow so much!
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what caused such an intense snowfall rate that day and the loud and frequent thundersnow?
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Since this has been analoged to February 8, 1994, I want to see if we get similar heavy snowfall rates we had in that very memorable storm. The thundersnow was extremely memorable in that event but those snowfall rates brought true whiteout conditions for 2 hours.
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It's there around the Delaware Water Gap and then snakes southeast to just south of Staten Island and off the Jersey coast near Belmar.
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These next two storms are analoged to February 1994. If the progression goes the same way we'll have a nice thaw and a break before the pattern reloads at the end of the month and into March. But what we're getting now will likely be the main action for the month until the reload occurs. March should be active through the 20th with snow threats.
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Santa the Poet Claus
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Maybe not, because it started as very heavy sleet. It sounded like hailstones hitting the ground outside.
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its very heavy sleet lol there was no light anything, it started as very heavy sleet
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Following the current storm is so much more fun than following model simulations lol.
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Yes, the cold air is banked to the east. This is similar to those suppressed systems that hit west of us but the further east you go the further south the snow gets. This time the cold air works in our favor.
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this is a warmer and drier version of 1993-94
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We'll get something from each of these next 2 storms, enjoy it, who knows when it'll snow again after next Tuesday.
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Going under 20" is expected though, we were close during the 70s and 80s (didn't we average 19 inches in that decade)? Looking at the JFK 30 year average 1951-1980 and 1961-90 (the ones I grew up with), JFK was only barely over 20"...... around 21.6 inches for the 30 year average if I remember correctly.
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For long island any changeover might hold off until after midnight, it looks like the further east you are the stronger the cold air will hold.
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Something I find interesting on the maps is that the cold air is deeper the further east you go, so for example N NJ could be pinging while it's snowing in Suffolk County (both north and south shore.)
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If we had modern tech back 1970 - 1999, the busts would be just as bad. Chaos theory always trumps modern technology.