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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. right, fast flow and too many shortwaves clustered together 93-94 was similar to this (but colder, so more snow.)
  2. Right, it's not the ridge doing it on its own, it's the pattern making it happen. When the pattern doesn't result in that ridge it doesn't happen, but then we get a suppressed pattern. What we are getting now are two different extremes and no middle ground. One extreme is the extreme suppressed pattern with the complete lack of a southeast ridge. The other pattern has too large of a southeast ridge and we get a cutter or a hugger. We are in a thread the needle pattern either way and neither of those outcomes is good for us. Ever look at a map of predominant storm tracks across the CONUS? You'll see a bunch of tracks to our south (suppressed) and a bunch of tracks to our north (cutters). For our area to get good snows we need more of a southwest to northeast track and just offshore. That does not happen in extreme patterns that oscillate between suppression and cutter/hugger.
  3. The size of storms seems to be getting smaller too. If you look back at the 90s, we had several storms that hit us and the delmarva too, now it's turned into either/or. Why are storms getting smaller?
  4. for some reason this area never gets ocean effect snow even though we have a 100 mile coastline with the ocean down here lol
  5. there is no chicken or egg it's everything together.
  6. we went into a suppressive pattern in late winter 2014 so this might turn out correct
  7. heh even wetter than I thought, 7:1 ratio lol Great for taking pictures though. If the NWS was right about the 12:1 ratio it would have been a lot more snow with that amount of liquid, around 2.5"
  8. Don it was a super wet snow here (trees look absolutely stunning), which I didn't expect on the northern fringe. If you can find the liquid equivalent for JFK's 1.5 inches of snow please let me know, I don't think it could have been 10:1 let alone 12:1 or more.
  9. Yep and it was a very wet snow, the trees look absolutely gorgeous. It looked like it wanted to get heavier but just never actually got there. It's paradoxical to me to get such a wet snow on the northern fringe of a storm lol. Usually you get very dry high ratio snow on the northern fringe. I'd love to see what the liquid equivalent was at JFK with their 1.5 measured snowfall.
  10. Thanks, the only report I saw was when I woke up at 5 am which had Upton's 2.0 as the highest number from Long Island.
  11. Same here, it was the same snowfall rate at 7:30 pm midnight 3 am, etc. Steady light to sometimes moderate snow for 8-9 hours
  12. Looks like this only benefits the midwest as far as snow is concerned? It makes the trough very sharp. They've had a massive snowfall drought in the midwest back to the northern plains.
  13. wow you got a little more up there than we got down here (not by much but still.)
  14. all the trees and wires are covered, this was a very wet beautiful snow, looks like a picture postcard outside
  15. 1-2 ended up being correct for the city and long island, including the south shore. There was no 3-4 inch spike for JFK or anywhere on the south shore. We always change over first in a mixed storm but a storm that's supposed to favor our area and we get the same amount the city got. Incidentally, Upton's 2.0 is the highest amount I saw on Long Island.
  16. He doesn't think it's legit either. What makes it particularly ludicrous is JFK had it as 2.2 and then lowered it to 1.6 to match Central Park. I find that somewhat comical......
  17. It still doesn't explain how you can have a cutter with a -5 AO
  18. How is it possible to have a cutter with a -5 AO? Wouldn't that AO suppress everything to the south?
  19. Maybe you'll get more, by decent for those of us at the coast I mean the last one that doesn't change over to ice/rain. Looks like the next couple will change over and then it's suppression city again.
  20. Yes but it's a little sad watching white out conditions near the white house and knowing we won't get that here. Back in the day storms that hit DC hard also hit us hard lol.
  21. If it goes like last time, I think we could still see one more minor storm like we did last time, but it would be under 4 inches just like all the others.
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