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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    People criticize winters like 1966-67 and 1995-96 because of the two to three week thaws they had in January, well guess what, you need that kind of thaw to reload the pattern and get a lot of snow. People who think that having wall to wall cold is a good way to get a lot of snow don't have a clue about our climatology, having a thaw in the middle of winter is vital to a long snowfall season.
  2. LibertyBell
    Especially when there's no legit thaw in winter, which definitely isn't normal. Typically we should get at least one week in the 50s sometime in the middle of winter before the pattern reloads, we didn't get that at all this winter.
  3. LibertyBell
    Yeah this weird weather has lasted too long
  4. LibertyBell
    Chris do you think those highs near 60 in Brooklyn will verify (I see 59 in Brooklyn and 61 in Monmouth on that map).
  5. LibertyBell
    this is good, it should prevent suppression
  6. LibertyBell
    Look up 1965-66, Norfolk Virginia, 40 plus inches of snow while we had 20 something (a normal winter for us, a historic one for them.) Our epic winter came the following year, 1966-67, after a historically hot and dry summer, 4 days of 100+ with 107 at LGA, 104 at JFK and 103 at NYC. The real head scratcher is this is a la nina, when such things are not supposed to happen.
  7. LibertyBell
    January 2016 was far from a lock. Modeling has improved sure, but it's still not close to perfect and nothing is a sure thing until within 48 hours.
  8. LibertyBell
    we got let out of school at noon that day February 1983 was a lot like PD2 and January 2016 All in strong el ninos, all trended north.
  9. LibertyBell
    we forgot about January 2015 when we experienced January 2016
  10. LibertyBell
    Neither was January 1996 or January 2016 or PD2
  11. LibertyBell
    7 pm is the ideal time to measure because the city flipped to a mix at 6:30
  12. LibertyBell
    Don has the negative AO maxed out or will it go even lower?
  13. LibertyBell
    all I've read here is the temps will snap back to much warmer in March, it's about time, this winter has been a very long one regardless of how many inches of snowfall we've had or not had.
  14. LibertyBell
    But this time there would be zero rain or mix, it would just be too cold, much colder than it was during *Nemo*
  15. LibertyBell
    Looks like it might have been even more snow for Central and South Jersey based on the map Stormlover posted above.
  16. LibertyBell
    10:1 ?!
  17. LibertyBell
    what did the 12z run have? 20+ for everyone?
  18. LibertyBell
    what's the 10:1 at the end of the storm (0z on Friday or whenever)?
  19. LibertyBell
    wow that's better than I thought it would be. 14.0 on that run for here
  20. LibertyBell
    It's not bad, just need it a bit further west.
  21. LibertyBell
    Maybe no one will get anything, including DC
  22. LibertyBell
    when will that kicker be properly sampled?
  23. LibertyBell
    I just dont like the word *shower* when it refers to snow, it's a huge source of confusion for many people who always associate *shower* with rain. I think that term needs to be retired from the weather lexicon and just use flurries instead You're right though, can't waffle back and forth, they should just say *A chance of snow*
  24. LibertyBell
    a *shower* not never even refer to snow, I hate that overused phrase with a passion a shower should ONLY refer to rain
  25. LibertyBell
    *snow showers* is the most overused phrase in history
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