LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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No I never look at the models, I go by what has a better track record, 1) climo 2) persistence and 3) what's happening upstream.
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this would go completely against climo of the 2020s. If you want to use 1991-92 as an analog fine, the history of March snowfalls is that they occur in borderline temperatures and melt quickly. Sure it can snow in March but it won't save the season. Also, it could just as easily rain even in the first half of the month with transient cold in between the rainstorms. That's probably more likely.
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depends on what you mean by *warm*, it will be warmer than it is right now.
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we'll hit 50s for two days next week but the first few days of March are likely to be in the 40s.
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yes but transient, nothing like what we have right now.
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40s is likely, not 50s on that date.
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yes getting to at least 12.0 enters C- territory. -
I'd suggest within 100 hours (96 hours or 4 days), but starting it at 5 days might be good to get a head start.
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snowier than 88-89 is ironic, lol. I have better memories of this winter than either 1988-89 or 1989-90. 1989-90 had that one shining moment in November though.... PS since we are ranking winters does that storm get added into the calculations, it being a late fall and not winter storm?
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Yes, and the best winter of the 80s. JFK recorded 30"+ that winter (LGA did too I think?), the only year in the 80s when either recorded 30"+ (NYC itself did not since they undermeasured that storm.)
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doubt it, it's March and the sun gets really strong in March. This winter hasn't been very cold, just cold compared to the last few years. I could see a few days in the upper 30s if it's cloudy, but nothing below low 40s if the sun is out.
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did it snow there until midnight?
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Don, that 0.1 brought JFK to 12.0 on the season and Central Park is up to 12.5 now? What is LGA at? Thanks.
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weird, it stopped snowing here around 11 pm even though radar returns still showed snow over this area until midnight.
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I would rank 1982-83 as a hell of a lot better than this winter, a big 22" HECS and the latest accumulating snowfall on record at JFK 2" on April 20th.
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we did very well on the south shore too, Chris! question, that says it's the second strongest jet stream winds-- when did we have our strongest?
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the cold and wind not so much....
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many days in the 40s with sunshine is just fine.
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we have too much uncontrolled growth that needs to be removed. We never had these kinds of fires in 2002 the last dry year we had. It's been abnormally wet for decades now and that overgrowth needs to be chopped down and removed. I think we are regressing back to a more normal rainfall pattern for us which is 40 inches per year and under 4 inches per month.
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Looks like we will be 45+ for many days in a row, any cold will be brief.
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My favorite kind of snow is this, where no shoveling is involved at all, it's a very cold and dry snow and the wind just blows it to the side lol. Did I tell you I never had to shovel in our last big snowstorm here, January 2022? A foot of snow fell but the wind blew it off my car and out of my driveway and no shoveling at all was needed!
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the eastern part of that dark green band is right over me now !
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what time did it start out by you? it was so frustrating seeing it snowing on radar here, 4 pm, 5 pm, 5:30 pm, etc, and even seeing it snowing on webcams in Manhattan as early as 4 pm but the snow didn't make it down to the ground here until after 6 pm. But been snowing nicely since then and sticking to everything and it's very windy too.
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plowing the salt bro
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It took a long time to move east into Long Island, but glad it finally did. Our roads are covered with snow plus it's windy outside. Didn't see snow here until after sunset even though radar returns showed snow here at 4 PM, 5 PM, 6 PM, etc., it must have been virga earlier.
