LibertyBell

That might be starting to turn around now, Chuck.

Thanks RClab, and thanks for the nice birthday present too!!

Thanks Don, I'm glad the sunshine hung around for my birthday!!

Staten Island and parts of Long Island could get up to an inch of rain.

Don why isn't it being called a noreaster? Is a coastal low the more PC term now?

Thanks Chris, do the models also have warmth on Thursday now, so now it's low 80s on both Thursday and Friday rather than upper 80s on Friday?

Did 2014-2015 also have that?

Maybe in the era of climate change we need to redefine the AMO. The cycle is past due to switch and maybe there are other things that should define it besides SST? Especially with climate change, it's likely those waters will always be that warm (unless the ice at the poles melts even more quickly and that should cool down the SST.)

Definitely, plus either way we're cooked. With more clouds we have more insulation to retain heat at night with less clouds we have more sunlight to cook the earth during the day.

But with higher evaporation rates would high and mid level clouds become more common, Don?

That's a good point. Also, I wonder if there are practical ways of mining for water in the subsurface (for example below the moon's surface and under the martian surface.)

There's that big gap I remember between July 9 and August 3 and again between August 20 and September 9. August was crickets lol

At different stages of the planet's evolution did we have a different amount of water on the planet Don? If we are going to pursue space colonization, I don't really see any other way, but to bring water from Earth. There is not enough water anywhere else in our solar system (to my knowledge) to sustain a space colony. If it will help keep sea levels lower than what climate change will do, in a way we're killing two birds with one stone.

This is very weird, did the same hurricane return 20 years later Tony?? 1975: Marilyn struck the Virgin Islands as a Category 3 Hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and an estimated minimum central pressure of 952 millibars or 28.11 inches of mercury. The strongest, most damaging part of the storm passed directly over the island of St. Thomas. The island of Culebra reported an unofficial wind gust of 125 mph. Storm surge was generally 6 to 7 feet with an isolated 11.7 storm surge in St. Croix. 80% of the homes and business on St. Thomas were destroyed and 10,000 people were left homeless. 30% of the homes on St. John were destroyed and 60% were left roofless. Marilyn caused 8 deaths and $1.5 billion dollars in damage. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1995: Hurricane Marilyn strikes Virgin Islands. It hit the U.S. Virgin Islands as a strong category 2 storm with top winds of 115 mph. The strongest, most damaging part of the storm passed directly over St. Thomas Island. It caused 8 deaths and $1.5 billion in damages. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History)

nice low humidity, 1980s type weather is back

why do we call this a coastal low instead of a noreaster? any storm with NE winds should be referred to as a noreaster, I noticed the media is calling it a coastal low too.

we should finish below normal here. I don't know how Islip is so warm lol

wow it's been very wet in the Poconos! today is my birthday so thanks for the YTD right to my birthday Chris!!

It could be the last very warm day of the season, I see my forecast as mid 80s. We have not been warmer than low 80s since the first half of August, it has nothing to do with the ocean as the flow has been NW most of that time and low humidity, good sky conditions.

AMO state is flipping to negative and it's pretty clear now.

all I can say this is MUCH better than the high humidity and flooding rainfalls we were getting year after year. It looks like the cyclic change back to a 1980s type pattern has finally happened.

so glad to return to a 1980s type of pattern

it could be a cold and dry winter like last winter was.

Don, geoengineering is going to have to take place on a massive scale. I see you mentioned the rising sea levels and what the result would be if all the polar ice caps and glaciers melted. The planet is 70% covered by water right now, how much more would be covered by water if all that ice turned liquid? To be honest, we have way too much more water on this planet than we need, at some point, the only way to save our coastal cities will be to transport some of that water to space colonies in orbit and on the Moon and Mars (and wherever else we might colonize where water will most definitely be needed.) How quickly would we be able to do this (perhaps developing new technology like space elevators). This is obviously something that will take many decades to develop, perhaps not until 2100 and beyond.

Yes, otherwise we would be going into a 70s/80s type of inactive period right now.