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psv88

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Everything posted by psv88

  1. psv88
    26 now, 4 degrees colder than forecast for this time, bodes well for this weekend I think…
  2. psv88
    But initialization looks off?
  3. psv88
    Oh wow, so like an hour south of the city. Check out Macon, cool town and has the allman brothers museum which I want to get to.
  4. psv88
    Going to be a great storm for you up there. Send us some photos
  5. psv88
    My thoughts remain the same. East winds for the island when the waters are still in the mid 40s won’t do it. It works for NJ and maybe even the city, but not for the island. In a month it would be a better chance once water temps hit the upper 30s. But an east wind regardless of the exact track spells trouble, unless the storm is suppressed well south in which case we don’t get the QPF. I do think the island does fine later this winter, but expectations should be kept in check for the island. If I was in NNJ, westchester, etc I would be much more confident of a nice advisory event.
  6. psv88
    Not sure how it’s emotions at all? People are analyzing models and synoptic features. Emotions should never be involved in forecasting weather. Need to be objective and that’s it. Weenies such as yourself are almost never objective so maybe you are referring to yourself.
  7. psv88
    Thinking this is a mainly white rain event for the island. Maybe a sloppy inch or so on the north shore and some mangles flakes on the south shore. we will get our chances later in the winter.
  8. psv88
    I went to college at Emory, which is in Atlanta. That area radiates very well. Are you south of the airport?
  9. psv88
    35 now. Maybe tonight is the night we freeze
  10. psv88
    4-12? Might as well be really bold and call for 1-12”
  11. psv88
    Still an eternity before this storm to really get invested. I expect the trend of the last 3 years to play out, which is repeated bumps N and W until it rains for everyone and it cuts to Pittsburgh
  12. psv88
    This. I would take an inch at this point
  13. psv88
    Nobody ever said it was over.
  14. psv88
    Right. The cleaner air was an underestimated source of warming.
  15. psv88
    We haven’t been below freezing even here in the suburbs in 6 days. Crazy for end of December and it could be another full week…so that would be 2 weeks without a low below freezing outside of the heat island…
  16. psv88
    Good interview of John Homenuk (earth light) regarding the winter forecast. https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/12/will-it-be-a-white-christmas-will-new-york-ever-get-snow.html
  17. psv88
    I remember this storm, or the aftermath of it, well. I was coming back from Europe visiting family and remember seeing how there was no snow on the twin forks and how the snow amounts really ramped up as one hit western Suffolk into the city. Was upset to have missed the storm.
  18. psv88
    Great. Go back there and stop harassing Bluewave, one of the best posters in this forum who has been a well respected poster here for many years. see ya!
  19. psv88
    Nobody, especially Bluewave, cares about your metric for respect. Where is your winter forecast? I haven’t seen you post any forecasts at all, which elicits zero respect.
  20. psv88
    Who cares? LR forecasting is a crapshoot and most LR forecasters get it wrong. Your attempts to discredit him won’t work. His accuracy extends well beyond 1-2 weeks, Try 1-2 months. I ask you. Who has been more accurate than him since November? Name one met/poster. we will wait.
  21. psv88
    Hit 58, record for this date for my location going back 9 years
  22. psv88
    57. Helluva way to run a pattern change…
  23. psv88
    No.
  24. psv88
    People need to stop wishcasting, some never learn and it makes this board hard to read. It’s hard to see the same posters fall into the same traps every year for the last 15 years. science isn’t about following your heart, it’s about following the facts.
  25. psv88
    2.16” here in Suffolk. those bust calls…didn’t work out so well
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