psv88
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Everything posted by psv88
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How is a foot of snow “not our storm”? what a crazy comment
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Not sure about that…maybe just faster.
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Disagree. I think even JFK gets at least 8”. Maybe LGA gets 10”, but I don’t see JFK at 4 and LGA at 12”. It’s never happened before and doesn’t make sense here either.
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Thats also not the full run. Full run is 10-12" for the Metro
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Euro looks great! Big thump and then sleet
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Often with a SWFE the mid levels are warmer than expected and the lower levels are colder than expected. Very common out here. Raises the concern for a period of freezing rain for the coast which will be a problem. I could see 8-10" of snow, an inch of sleet, then an hour of freezing rain for many that really makes a mess. Then back to snow and ice box. Will be fun to watch, but awful to drive in
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All this long island debbie downer talk is silly. We are likely headed to a 40" plus season. We've had many great all snow blizzards in the past 2 decades. If you want to live somewhere that gets all snow events for the 5 days a year it matters, go for it. Otherwise, enjoy whatever comes.
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Ukie tick colder? Forget the weird snow hole, seems like it didnt bump north
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RGEM was better to me. on to the next!
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Everyone knows its been trending north. Some people should step away and take a break.
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This model has been pretty solid this winter. Do we have a comparison with the prior run?
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It's just one more model. Still a long way to go. It's been wrong plenty of times with mix lines. Let's see what the rest of the suite brings before pulling the plug on the event.
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Flips us to plain rain! Awful.
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Jesus NAM! God awful...
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New York City - 9Boston - 14Philadelphia - 6Washington DC - 5Hartford - 13Albany - 10 ME - 10"
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Its an outlier of sorts. Very dry and doesnt make sense with this setup.
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I definitely think most of the island mixes for 2-3 hours before a flip back. Still a full day for ticks either way, but I would bank on some sleet
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Yep. This storm should get us near average on the year, to somewhere between 25-30", as I am at 18" now. If we cash in later in the week and early next month, we will be on our way to our first above average season in years, 40" might be doable.
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Yea i don't think anyone on long island should be expecting 14" of snow...8-12" total snow and sleet is a good forecast, and its in our WSW. This will be a MECS with major impacts, largely because it will be so cold. But, this is not a record setting storm by any means. Just a major, high impact storm to enjoy on a Sunday. That is what this has always been. Setting your expectations higher is not realistic.
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No. It’s a great run for us. Still 12+ and cold. It’s coming.
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Models look great! Back to work
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NAM, which the naysayers cling to for mid level warming, popped the secondary earlier and further SE. this ticked the mixing south. Great run of the NAM. the RGEM was less snowy due to a weird QPF min around the city. The ICON has been wildly inconsistent. so far I like the 12z suite
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Models look great! Nice to see icon and RGEM snowier
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It did budge. It went north but got wetter so the amounts stayed the same. But it definitely budged
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Yea these models are getting much much wetter. We are about to get smacked real good. Better get that ice melt!
