psv88
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Everything posted by psv88
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Includes all of Suffolk too. Haven’t seen such a broad advisory in a while -
Wonder if William/Pamela is still out there
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Btw you still haven’t explained to @Dark Starhow the warm Great Lakes only impact night time temperatures but not day time temperatures. I was curious about that as well.
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Correct.
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It’s also the only model which has been consistent with snow for the city and the coast. I’ll leave it there. You can spin it however you want, but from a SNOW standpoint it was insistent that the entire area will see snow. I really don’t give a shit if its SLP placement was suppressed. 99.999% of the population could care less.
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Northwest Suffolk looks good for a solid high end advisory event now. Generally 4-6” snowfall looks likely from your area out to Smithtown north of LIE
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Nice cold press during the storm for coastal areas. Love to see it as opposed to the dreaded SWFES where we end with slop
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That was a 7 day forecast! We are talking day 5 or less. Stop. Even 7 days out it showed the potential for a light even area wide, which generally is correct
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Yikes. Lots of weenie suicides by the northwest crew if this verifies
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It’s weird how you keep ignoring that the Canadian models gave the city zero snow until today. Why is that?
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Incorrect to the inch? Sure. But it’s wrong to say models cannot generally predict snow amounts “beyond a day or two” we have known this was a 3-6/4-8” event (for the snowier areas) for 5 days. Nothing has changed. QPF output has generally been between 0.25 and 0.50 for most models. We knew there would be cold air to work with. For areas north and west this was a relatively straightforward forecast. Trickier for areas right on the line
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The euro was lighter in amounts and the Canadians gave the poconos 2 feet. That’s now off the table. Canadians had the city and coast getting zero. That changed in one run lol.
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The western envelope had the city getting zero snow and all rain. Is that your call right now?
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No. Snow amounts are the only thing we care about actually.
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It’s not just about low placement. Models also forecast temperature, wind, dews etc. on this forum do we track low placement or snow? If it’s snow then the Euro schooled the other models. the prosecution rests
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That was a great model!
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Did you see the most recent RGEM move? Last run it gave the city no snow at all. It has been terrible. Give it a rest
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Go back and look at the model trends. See which showed snow V no snow for city and coast and then circle back.
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Man some of you are either blind or delusional. Maybe because you aren’t following what the models have showed for the coastal areas as much. you even posted the models that showed snow v no snow for the coast. Which models show no snow now? None…those models all caved and now show snow. This isn’t hard
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Dude the GFS and RGEM were complete rainstorms on the island for days. Also, the Ukie has always been very close to the euro. The NAM is actually southeast of the euro at this point and was never amped up. the Canadian models have been awful. I am not sure how anyone can look at this as anything else than a euro win
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Agreed. His fault for moving to Bermuda
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Sure but for any particular storm we can see which models have been consistent and look back at other storms and see that as well. Euro has been locked in and the models trended towards it. Same thing happened last week.
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Tough for @Rjaybut I still think he gets 3-4”.
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No. It stinks. euro has been locked in for 5 days. 3-6” snowfall across the area. NAM v RGEM as to higher total west v east. still think are good for 3-4” here
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GFS caved to Euro for the most part
