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Everything posted by psv88
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Does that really matter for us? The ground is soaked and the foliage is lush. More rain means more mosquitoes in August.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We don’t need the rain…- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Can't believe I am under a warning NYZ078-081730- /O.NEW.KOKX.TR.W.1005.210708T0920Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KOKX.TR.A.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ Northwest Suffolk- 520 AM EDT Thu Jul 8 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Huntington - Smithtown - Port Jefferson * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain possible - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be underway. Prepare for limited wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - No storm surge inundation forecast - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm surge flooding - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding. Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip currents are possible. - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding are needed. - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor forecasts. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and streams may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys, and increase susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a few tornadoes. - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - http://scoem.suffolkcountyny.gov - https://weather.gov/nyc - https://ready.gov/hurricanes- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's even worse for my area. max wind gusts of 25 mph.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
For all of Long Island and the Jersey shore- 587 replies
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What was your high today? I am sitting at 91, spiked to 94 earlier
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Your area is awful for all types of weather- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice. We didn’t have any close strikes or impressive wind. I’m ok with that…- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’ve never seen it before lol. Winds not bad here at all, but monsoon rains.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Incredible rains out here in Suffolk, some thunder, winds maybe 30, thankfully- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like the end of times here in Suffolk...- 587 replies
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90/77
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Incredible day today. 80 now, 84 for the high
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Me too usually…but I’m about to drive to NJ for the day…meh -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Very wet day coming for the island -
Haha booby
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nice cluster of storms heading into central suffolk -
Historic Pacific Northwest Heatwave of 2021
psv88 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Awful- 323 replies
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Surprised there is not a flood advisory fir NW suffolk, these showers are dropping a ton of rain -
SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Getting crushed here, heavy tropical rains. Could see this adding up quickly. -
I would hope that as time goes on the departures do not continue to increase at the same pace as they did in the last decade. I think we see a much larger jump once the 1990s drops off, as the real warming seems to have started around 2000. After that jump, departures in any given month should be less.
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Anyone think the dewpoint numbers at LGA are off? They are always 4-5 degrees lower than anyone station
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Remember that is based off of the 1990-2020 numbers, we no longer use the 1980-2010 records as of this year...I am sure if you ran the departures from 1980-2010 the numbers area wide appear different...the real metric is what @bluewave posted, where the month ranks in actual monthly temperature.
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SVR/FF potential late today-Friday June 29-July 2, 2021
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Meh. -
You think Upton got it wrong in the rounding? One would think they know how to do it