psv88

7 this morning.

8 now. Dew is 5 so maybe we dip around there

Looks like flurries

I’ve been wrong before and will be wrong again at some point. But weather forecasting requires people to go out on a limb and I am. I don’t think we get a colder week this winter than this week. I also think we wasted this cold for the most part and it will be a struggle to get to normal snowfall. Let’s find out

Nice map of northeast snowfall reports https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?zoom=8&lat=42&lon=-71.82&hr=24

In terms of SENSIBLE weather…you know what actually dictates what falls from the sky, the Canadian models were horrific. 2 days before the storm they had plain rain from NE NJ eastward. in reality all of Long Island got 2-4” of snow. again, people care about sensible weather. If someone had been forecasting based on the Canadian models yesterday’s forecast would have been rain and 40. euro AI was the best with the storm period. It’s not even up for discussion. a model that had all rain 2 days ago for a 100 mile wide area that just got 2-4” of snow is horrific.

Took a drive to Robert Moses and there was snow right down to the beaches. Probably an inch on the sand itself, immediate south shore around 2”. Nice to see the beaches blanketed in snow.

Yes par for the course

This week probably coldest of the winter. Next few weeks don’t look great for snow and then we warm up. Absent a large storm in February I’m not seeing the area getting to average snowfall for the season. Probably crap out around 15” or so.

25 with light snow. Maybe other 1/4”

Ended with 3.5” here. Not sure this light snow will amount to much. A bit less than expected but a nice event. 8” on the season.

I think eastern Suffolk ends up ok. Alot of snow moving off the ocean for them. Glad you got some as well. fuck the RGEM

Yea longitude was not your friend this time. Models showed the central Suffolk cutoff well

3 inches here. The band has another 30 left and then light snow so we will get to 4. 29 now

Yes this band is doing its job. We will hit 4”

It’s not even that close to the ocean…maybe more elevation related, it’s 200 feet lower than the Northern

Heavy snow under this band. Closing in on 2 inches. Temp down to 30

LIE and northern state completely snow covered out to central Suffolk. Dangerous night to be on the roads. somehow the southern state is mainly wet though

Those 1 inch forecasts are going to bust spectacularly

It’s also getting very windy out. Legit nor’easter feel

Our best snow is the next 1-2 hours. Nice little band will swing through.

Radar looks excellent for city and coast. Would like temps to drop another 5 so we can get ratios, but for now it’s heavy man snow

31 and moderate snow in Suffolk. Closing in on an inch.

32 and moderate snow. Street snow covered. Let’s go

Still pouring graupel and 33. Laying down a nice layer which will freeze up. A few flakes mangled in but a change to bigger flakes would be nice