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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
  2. NJwx85
    They could have probably gotten the game in tonight if they had waited till 8:30 to start.
  3. NJwx85
    If this doesn't pivot soon the rain is going to be over within the next 2-3 hours.
  4. NJwx85
    Just started raining here and the winds picked up pretty good.
  5. NJwx85
  6. NJwx85
    Most of the trees out this way are still fully leafed. We're still probably about a good 10-14 days awake from peak here. Now if you go up about 500 feet or so into Orange County it's another story.
  7. NJwx85
    I have to say the radar over Northern VA looks pretty impressive right now. Definitely a solid area of > 0.25" per hour rates.
  8. NJwx85
    Yeah I'm not worried about a lack of rain, actually the exact opposite. I think the current trends argue for a wetter solution.
  9. NJwx85
    Most of that is over LI, CT and the Hudson Valley with much lesser amounts for the city and NNJ.
  10. NJwx85
    Not entirely sure I buy the lesser rainfall forecast. Water vapor imagery shows a sharp negatively tilted trough centered over the mid-west, with abundant moist flow to the East.
  11. NJwx85
    Most of the time we get stronger winds here on the backside of a storm as the pressure rises. Think we're in for a similar outcome here. Anyway the wind field on the 3k NAM looks more like a tropical system than a purely cold core system with the strongest winds just to the North and East of the center.
  12. NJwx85
    This looks more to me like a strong frontal passage. We need the surface low to come up the NJ coast instead of into Long Island in order to get into the stronger part of the storm. With that being said, looks like many areas are in for 2-3" of rain in a short period.
  13. NJwx85
    Great setup for a slow moving 2-3 foot snowstorm today. Classic Miller B with strong blocking.
  14. NJwx85
    Just enough blocking from the high to the North to drain dry air down into PA and Western NJ, Upstate NY. You can clearly see where the moisture cutoff line is and where the rain shield ends.
  15. NJwx85
    Cutoff systems like this almost always end up further West than forecast because of the backing flow.
  16. NJwx85
    About as raw of a day as you will see around here for early/mid-October. Currently 53.6 degrees with moderate to occasionally heavy rain. Only about a quarter of an inch in the bucket so far but its come in spurts, almost like squalls or bands. We've also been consistently gusting in the 20-25 MPH range.
  17. NJwx85
    I don't think the Pats cover the spread. Going to be a lot of short passes and screens. I would bet on a 17-6 type game.
  18. NJwx85
    Pouring here for the last hour or so. FYI - For anyone betting on the Giants/Pats game Thursday night. Forecast is for 1-2" of rain and winds gusting up to 40 MPH during the game. Should make for an interesting game.
  19. NJwx85
    Headed for Boston on Friday, but the worst looks to be over by then. Hoping it clears out for the weekend up there. Anyone know if the Euro keeps Boston in the pesky Northerly/Wet flow on Saturday like the GGEM shows?
  20. NJwx85
    With the exception of Dorian and Lorenzo, every other storm this season has struggled. I think it has more to do with the strength of the vort as it came off of Africa and favorable UL conditions in the Eastern Atlantic as opposed to some anomalously high SST in that area. It’s not like every wave coming off of Africa in that spot has developed, in fact it’ll likely be the only one this year.
  21. NJwx85
    Was hoping this thing would take a sharper right turn and be a possible threat to Africa, just because I can’t recall such anomalous track/intensity before. As is, watch out Ireland.
  22. NJwx85
  23. NJwx85
    If that is the case, I hope they plan to head out there this evening. Obviously Lorenzo is not a threat to anything but shipping interests, but from a meteorological perspective, Lorenzo is fascinating. It could very well end up surprisingly deep/intense based on recent satellite trends. It would be awesome to sample this hurricane near peak intensity. Some guidance suggests that it could be a threat to NW Europe.
  24. NJwx85
    The Euro still has quick development of another Cape Verde system towards the end of next week. This time around the ridging looks to be a bit stronger, at least until the system reaches the Central MDR.
  25. NJwx85
    Looks like recon had a training mission down to Barbados today. Wonder if it was a re-positioning to try and get some data from Lorenzo?
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