NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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May 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NJwx85 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Topped out at 82 here. Superb mid Spring day. -
Thought this was in and out? Pouring here.
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Pouring here
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Yeah those numbers that the Euro had yesterday are probably overblown, but I don't personally see why people think they are getting less than an inch tonight.
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Steady rain has commenced here and with that the winds have come back.
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I love when people try and say a storm was a bust before it even happens. And then when conditions verify, try and find a way to downplay it or nitpick. Not saying that anyone is getting 3-4" tonight but the moisture is there. Just a matter of how quickly things move through. Looks like a bust to me
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Hate to break it to you, but that's inaccurate, at least for where I live.
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The winds here are already far more impressive than the last two over hyped events. And I'm over an inch in the bucket since midnight.
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Classic setup for training heavy rain here with negatively tilted trough and closed ULL over the Ohio Valley. Impressive moisture transport coming out of the Caribbean.
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Models are traditionally awful at QPF. Use the current radar and other tools to see the picture. The flood watch doesn't even begin until 8PM.
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One of my favorite storms of all time was the March 2010 Noreaster. The combination of the rain and wind were extremely impressive. And I'll never forget being out with the fire department the night that Sandy came in. Wind howling, trees coming down. One narrowly missed our engine. So many flashes of light in the sky from blowing up transformers that it looked like lightning.
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Many around here think I’m crazy but I love a good rain storm. This reminds me of a big event from many years ago where we got a firehose of convection and lots of wind.
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Getting windy here, can hear the roaring. Good sign winds are mixing down given current lack of convection.
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It’s going to come down to training. I’m already over an inch since midnight.
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You still haven’t learned after all these years that the GFS is nothing but a garbage model and should have been shot in the back of the head years ago. Still, the further West you are the more rain you’ll get today.
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Bit of a dry slot currently, rain to the West is crawling East and looks impressive.
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The rain bands have a NW component to the movement, indicative of the negatively tilted trough.
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Just pouring here currently under 30dbz echoes. Impressive to say the least.
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Continuing to really come down here and radar continues to fill in. Not going to underperform here today. Mesoscale models doing poorly so far with coverage of rain. NAM basically had nothing more than a few hours of poorly organized convection.
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Already picked up quite a bit of rain here with training showers.
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The ground is somewhat saturated and a few of the hydrographs are predicting minor river flooding with 2-3” of rain. Think for the most part though that river flood risk is low outside of freak training over susceptible areas.
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You know it’s a shit weather day when even the convection in South Florida is dying out. Right now best looking thunderstorm in the country is a small cell which popped up East of Daytona and headed OTS.
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Been a steady light to at times moderate rain here today despite relatively scattered look on radar.
