NJwx85

That cell is right on the edge of the stronger shear. Most of that is located further North and East over Upstate NY and Western New England. Thinking that we need to wait for the line in PA for anything significant.

Chance at a few supercells with discrete activity ahead of the main line. One such SVR warned cell moving through Sussex County now. The main line is centered over Central/Eastern PA and most intense area is currently focused on the DC area with developing MCS feature. Further development should continue and multiple rounds of convection are possible from late this afternoon into the first part of the night. Latest HRRR soundings indicate only about 1500-1800 J/KG of SBCAPE around 23-00z which looks severely underdone based on current observations below.

Your location worked to your disadvantage as the heaviest bands didn’t quite make it that far into interior NNJ.

Still pouring here.

Took a long time to get here and things should be wrapping up soon, but expectations have been met here. Not much in the way of wind, but enough to sweep the rain and give it the tropical feel.

Looks like the center is onshore. Rain shield has begun falling apart. Still a solid band extending from LI Sound into the Poconos and Western NY.

Nearest reporting station to my location. Unofficial (3.6") as of about 30 minutes ago. 11:51 AM 75 F 73 F 94 % ENE 10 mph 17 mph 29.87 in 0.1 in Rain 12:01 PM 75 F 73 F 94 % ENE 7 mph 0 mph 29.86 in 0.0 in Rain 12:51 PM 75 F 73 F 94 % NE 13 mph 0 mph 29.85 in 0.1 in Rain 1:51 PM 75 F 72 F 90 % ENE 14 mph 23 mph 29.81 in 0.2 in Heavy Rain 1:53 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 14 mph 23 mph 29.81 in 0.0 in T-Storm 2:00 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 12 mph 24 mph 29.81 in 0.1 in Heavy T-Storm 2:23 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % NE 12 mph 21 mph 29.79 in 0.3 in Heavy T-Storm 2:37 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % NE 13 mph 21 mph 29.77 in 0.4 in Rain 2:51 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 14 mph 23 mph 29.77 in 0.5 in Heavy Rain 3:19 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 15 mph 23 mph 29.75 in 0.5 in Heavy Rain 3:51 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % E 13 mph 20 mph 29.72 in 0.9 in Heavy Rain 3:53 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 14 mph 20 mph 29.72 in 0.0 in Heavy Rain 4:00 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 14 mph 24 mph 29.72 in 0.2 in Heavy Rain 4:08 PM 74 F 72 F 93 % ENE 14 mph 26 mph 29.71 in 0.3 in Heavy Rain

Forgot about Jamaica too. NJ was the third landfall lol.

Nope, Sandy made landfall in Cuba as a CAT 3.

Wind swept moderate to heavy rain. Hoping it lasts at least a few more hours.

First landfall was in North Carolina.

Looks like landfall is coming near Atlantic City or Brigantine island. Cannot remember the last time a tropical cyclone made its first landfall in NJ.

Finally getting tropical conditions here with pouring rain and enough wind to make the trees move.

Looks like the city will be dry slotted within the next hour or so. Hoping that the band moving in continues to intensify. Has really been pouring here but nothing overly crazy. And then we wait to see what happens with the rain to our SW.

Still plenty of moisture

Not sure why everyone is expecting all that rain in Eastern PA to just die there. The storm is moving North at a decent clip and will take the rain NNE with it.

Signs of somewhat of a firehose developing on radar rotating generally towards the city.

Quite a bit of dry air has wrapped in the on NE side of the circulation.

The next band is intensifying as it rotates in from SE of the city. I expect a lot more of these bands. The storm motion is only 12mph so it's going to take awhile for the dry air to come in.

Thunder and lightning here.

Moderate rain falling now. Not much wind, and didn't expect much. Hopefully the radar continues to fill in.

You also have the best shot at seeing a tornado or water spout.

Looks like you’re going to end up too far East for high impacts away from the immediate shore.