
NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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I think the two system are far enough part that it wouldn't matter unless they both ended up in the Gulf at the same time. The Euro keeps TD-13 weak but it's mostly because of how strong the WAR is and lots of land interaction.
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The Euro does have this storm making landfall as a minimal hurricane on the Texas coast in about 5 days.
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NJwx85 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Squall line incoming -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
NJwx85 replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Another line of storms approaching. Several severe warned. -
Possible FF, Iso SVR NJ-LI Noon WED 8/12-Noon FRI 8/14
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nothing but bright sunshine and a few puffy cumulus clouds up here. -
After Sandy we had no power for ten days, but literally every single transformer in town blew up. Unless I'm mistaken, most of these power outages are related to downed wires which are easier to fix.
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That storm lasted much longer and dumped a lot more rain in our area.
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Here at work we have five trees down, including two apple trees and a large pine tree.
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I would say this storm was near the higher end of my expectations. Western sections had more rain than expected but we missed out on the tornado threat. I'm glad about that, but you don't get these setups too often and it would have been really something if it had materialized.
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We had tons of tree damage with the March 2010 Noreaster, Irene in 2011 and then Sandy in 2012 which all helped to thin the herd of weaker trees in the area. Granted it's been eight years but we're nowhere near as vulnerable. After Sandy a lot of wires were put underground as well.
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It didn't really weaken, just went further East towards Suffolk.
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My sister just texted me from Smithtown, NY. Large tree and live power lines down in her backyard.
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Just got an alert that my power is out at home.
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Winds have really slackened off here. Must be close to the center now.
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Power has flashed 6 or 7 times but still on.
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Hook echo on the cell just SE of Islip and rotation on the cell to the East of that as well. Both have special marine warnings for waterspouts.
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This one is going to be a problem. Special Marine Warning ANZ345-353-355-041800- /O.NEW.KOKX.MA.W.0075.200804T1704Z-200804T1800Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Special Marine Warning National Weather Service New York NY 104 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 NM... Fire Island Inlet to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 NM... Long Island South Shore Bays... * Until 200 PM EDT. * At 104 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing waterspouts was located 24 nm east of Barnum Island, moving north at 55 knots. HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts in excess of 50 knots. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Boats could suffer significant structural damage in high winds. Small craft could capsize in suddenly higher waves. * The severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly open waters. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for southeastern New York. Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes. && LAT...LON 4038 7300 4036 7328 4066 7340 4075 7292 TIME...MOT...LOC 1704Z 178DEG 54KT 4046 7313
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Plus we've known for two days that rain wasn't going to be the big ticket item for our immediate area. I don't understand the obsession with rainfall. Had less than 2" with Sandy.
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The track ended up right over 95 which pushed the tornado threat offshore and more towards LI. Not going to make a difference in the wind department though. And many areas are going to get over 2" of rain which is more than it looked like was going to happen.
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Special Marine Warning ANZ345-353-355-373-375-041745- /O.NEW.KOKX.MA.W.0073.200804T1638Z-200804T1745Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Special Marine Warning National Weather Service New York NY 1238 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Sandy Hook NJ to Moriches Inlet NY out 40 NM... Long Island South Shore Bays... * Until 145 PM EDT. * At 1238 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing waterspouts was located 26 nm east of Shark River Reef, moving northwest at 45 knots. HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts in excess of 50 knots. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Waterspouts can easily overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Boats could suffer significant structural damage in high winds. Small craft could capsize in suddenly higher waves. * The severe thunderstorm will be near... Barnum Island and Island Park around 130 PM EDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for southeastern New York. Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes. && LAT...LON 4062 7394 4065 7378 4061 7374 4062 7372 4065 7370 4064 7364 4067 7355 4067 7339 4069 7335 4025 7285 4003 7312 TIME...MOT...LOC 1638Z 141DEG 44KT 4013 7313
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 417 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of northern Connecticut Massachusetts southern New Hampshire eastern New York northern Rhode Island southern Vermont Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 80 mph possible SUMMARY...In association with the north-northeastward progression of Isaias, thunderstorm activity will form and spread northward across the region this afternoon through early evening, in an environment conducive to the development of a few tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Poughkeepsie NY to 30 miles east southeast of Boston MA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
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I'll take 2-3" of rain and the wind over 6-8" rain and no wind.
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