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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    Dry slot is advancing in from the SW, already in Wilmington and will be to Philly soon. Hopefully it’s not as bad as it looks
  2. NJwx85
    23 degrees here and light snow.
  3. NJwx85
  4. NJwx85
    Latest HRRR through 07z with more to come.
  5. NJwx85
    Based on radar trends it looks like our "wall of snow" currently is on an axis from Reading to Quakertown to Princeton to Marlboro advancing NNE.
  6. NJwx85
    Storm is really hauling. Dry slot is about to come into DC already. I think they started around 10AM so about a 7-8 hour event there.
  7. NJwx85
    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 341 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-103>108-NYZ067>071-171000- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-201217T1800Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex- Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- 341 PM EST Wed Dec 16 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Thursday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is still some uncertainty with how much, if any mixing occurs tonight for southeastern coastal Connecticut. If some mixing occurs, snowfall amounts will be lower.
  8. NJwx85
    No purples for you, one year!
  9. NJwx85
    Does the NAM wear Nike's?
  10. NJwx85
    I guess it depends on the location of the sounding. I looked just NW of the city.
  11. NJwx85
  12. NJwx85
    You literally cherry picked the warmest panel. It's a little dicey 00-04z but the warm layer gets pushed back.
  13. NJwx85
    Look how the CAD is keeping NE NJ, SE NY and LI heavy snow
  14. NJwx85
    The 18z NAM is not horrid, stop posting bad/wrong information.
  15. NJwx85
    That’s what she said.
  16. NJwx85
    5.9” per hour
  17. NJwx85
    Oh for Christs sake it's called New Jersey. Have some respect.
  18. NJwx85
    Warm air advection to about Philly which matches the current radar well.
  19. NJwx85
    What is jerz?
  20. NJwx85
    If you read the comments for that tweet I posted it's full of people saying that they expected a good front end dump and instead ended up with a lot of ZR/IP. I'm not saying that necessarily translates up here but it does indicate the level of warming aloft. Cold air damming only keeps the surface cold.
  21. NJwx85
    What? This is how much precip falls between 12z and 18z. After 18z nothing. So even if it does hold on it's over by early afternoon at the latest.
  22. NJwx85
    But that band isn't stationary. It progresses North and then the dry slot comes in right afterwards. Yes, it's going to snow heavily, just think people need to curb expectations some. Hope I'm wrong. If NYC gets 14" it probably means that I get over 20".
  23. NJwx85
    I don't think anyone down here is getting 3" per hour rates for four hours. Maybe very briefly during the peak. Do you have any concept as to how rare 3" per hour rates for 4 straight hours is? We don't have good dynamics, just basic warm air advection.
  24. NJwx85
  25. NJwx85
    The 12z RGEM looked good to me. Less profound of a dry slot and doesn't really shut off precip until around 12-13Z.
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