NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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That looks like my Sisters neighborhood.
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Somewhere around the same. It's hard to measure with all the drifts. Even the snowboard isn't reliable with the winds.
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Just an amazing storm here with no real end in sight. 18z 3k NAM has light snow persisting over the area for about the next 24 hours and doesn't really start to show things lightening up until after 10PM.
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After a brief lull things have really picked up again, visibility is back below 1/4 mile.
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I can definitely tell the difference with the snow intensity in between bands. The heaviest axis of snow now is from just NW of Philly up to about the Paterson, NJ area. Definitely a larger area of subsidence near Newark.
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It doesn't make much sense to me, but the HRRR depicts the sleet line working well up into the Hudson Valley tonight. If that happens it's going to be hard to get the really big numbers that the NAM was spitting out up this way.
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I'm looking at the soundings for the HRRR and I don't see a warm layer. I think it's just a product of milder air coming in off the ocean at the lowest levels due to the close proximity of the low tracks. The standard radar that most people use doesn't resolve mixing issues well.
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It's not over and you look to be in a pretty good spot for the pivot.
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Just been ripping here for the last 1-2 hours. Visibility is down to about 1/10th of a mile.
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LOL at people complaining about getting over a foot of snow.
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I assure you, parts of NJ up into SE NY will reach over 20". Some places in NW NJ are already approaching those numbers. The NY Metro doesn't end at the Hudson River.
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The next 8-12 hours are going to be the height of the storm. System has begun to pivot as evidenced by the band of snow moving Southeastward back towards the Lakewood/Toms River area.
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About 10" OTG here in Southern Rockland County. Visibility is down to about a quarter mile.
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Looks like two bands rotating in from the SE. The first runs from SW CT down through Westchester, Rockland and points SW into NJ. Then an area of subsidence in between. The second band is about to enter LI and the rest of the coast off the ocean. Probably easily 1-2" per hour in the Western band and 2-4" per hour in the one coming off the ocean.
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The new HRRR is trending away from the dry slot idea for the immediate coast.
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I noticed that but I think it's more of a low level dry air intrusion given the close proximity of the MLC.
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It also pushes the heaviest banding up into NE PA and SE NY by tonight.
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From what a few mets on Twitter that I trust have said, the NAM has been too wet and the HRRR has been too dry so far.
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It's just been light snow in Rockland so far. Looks to be kicking it up towards moderate over the last 30 minutes.
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The HRRR retrogrades the surface low towards the coast and then stalls it around 22z tonight. This allows for the mixing line to work up into Rockland and Westchester.
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The coastal will flip winds to out of the NE and the heavy precip will cool the column. Stop whining, there’s no crying in meterology.
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Nothing here yet in Rockland County.