Jump to content

NJwx85

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    19,238

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    Lots of potential here.
  2. NJwx85
    It's already noticeably more light out. If I leave work right at 5 I can almost make it home before total darkness. A sign of better things to come. Only another month or so of this garbage left. Only 35 days until pitchers and catchers.
  3. NJwx85
    This failed because of timing. It happens. There might be something good around the 20th before the pattern flips.
  4. NJwx85
    I'm showing 34 degrees at the surface at 18z Saturday near Newark.
  5. NJwx85
    What snow?
  6. NJwx85
    This is what happens when the system doesn't phase until it's past us. As you can see, the eventual coastal deepens quite dramatically offshore.
  7. NJwx85
    The storm saw the new congestion pricing and decided to take a hard right turn.
  8. NJwx85
    Yeah I thought the trough looked better initially but it actually ends up worse than the GFS.
  9. NJwx85
    It has the trough negatively tilted at hr 84, agree.
  10. NJwx85
    If you look at the last few runs of the GFS, the trend is for a more positively tilted trough and lower heights at the coast. My call right now is for nothing significant North of Toms River.
  11. NJwx85
    And to think some here were upset yesterday because the 18z GFS showed a coastal scraper.
  12. NJwx85
  13. NJwx85
    This is trending towards nothing up here and I'm fine with that. Have my son's birthday party on Saturday afternoon anyway. And no legit snowlover would be happy with a 1-3" event when the GFS was showing 20-30" yesterday.
  14. NJwx85
  15. NJwx85
    12z NAM looking better. Maybe it's the start of a trend. Today is probably the last day for significant changes.
  16. NJwx85
    Long range NAM but this would result in a suppressed solution.
  17. NJwx85
    Looks nothing like the Euro at H5.
  18. NJwx85
    You want the NAM to be showing a track into Albany at this range. If it’s not super amped beyond 60hrs that’s a tell.
  19. NJwx85
    No. In fact, the consensus was out to sea, didn't come back till Christmas Eve. It was a Christmas miracle. Of course, the models weren't nearly as good back then. That was one of my first memories from being on this board.
  20. NJwx85
    At hour 84, the GFS is more amped than 12z.
  21. NJwx85
    12z Euro and 18z GFS are nearly identical at H5 at hour and then differences begin. GFS is already digging the Northern stream into the Dakotas while the Euro is well North of the border.
  22. NJwx85
    The Euro and GFS are pretty similar earlier on. The major differences aloft occur late Thursday night into Friday morning. It all comes down to timing.
  23. NJwx85
    A lot of what you see falling on the Northern fringe will be extremely light. Going to be lots of subsidence North of where this sets up.
  24. NJwx85
    Just a less reliable model correcting South.
  25. NJwx85
    I've had 4 measurable snowfalls already, two plowable and it's only January 3rd. The important thing is that we're in an active pattern so there will continue to be storm chances. We had a period in October and November where it rained like twice in a 60 day span.
×
×
  • Create New...