
NJwx85
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Everything posted by NJwx85
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
6”+ on the GFS for the North and West of 287 crowd.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The only area that gets shafted is the immediate coastline, like the city, South shore of LI and far Eastern NJ.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Storm passes just South of LI and we dry slot by 12z Sunday.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Newark is 33 degrees in that panel.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
GFS is a big hit. Heavy snow North of I-78. CAD into the Northern burbs and North Shore. Philly proper is rain.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looking like the 12z GFS will be less suppressed this run.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snow ratios with this storm will be in the 6 or 8:1 range outside of the most intense banding.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
NJwx85 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’m a little surprised with how consistent the models have been this far out with the potential for this weekend. There’s a well positioned high and blocking which obviously opens the door for suppression. It looks like the heaviest snow will be interior Eastern PA and the mountains NW of DC and BWI. The 00z Euro is less suppressed looking than the GFS. Looks like there will be a sharp cut off either way around I-84.- 3,610 replies
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This is the NAM's prediction for a few hours from now.
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Still to come per the 18z HRRR
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Absolutely unloading here in Ramsey, NJ.
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Moderate to at times heavy rain again here in NW Bergen County.
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It's not. Rain is intensifying near Paramus and filling in.
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Yup that is what I was referencing in my last post.
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A new area of intense rain is developing West of the city over Southern Bergen County. As many have said, this is far from over.
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The National Weather Service and just about every model disagrees with you.
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The 12z HRDPS focuses the heaviest over Westchester and SW CT this afternoon. Sharp cutoff around the I-87/287 split.
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Was just going to post. It develops heavy convection again over some areas that are currently drying out.
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You do realize that's still like another 18 hours from now?
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12k 12z NAM and still more to come after this.
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It's over for areas that were never supposed to get the big rains anyway.
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The rain is pivoting. All of the dynamics are still focused over the area.
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Eastern Orange County is obviously still in it. He was talking about NE PA. Maybe they will get another 1-2" there if another band develops.
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