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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    Thanks everyone. Yup, 3rd one wasn’t planned but ….. happens.
  2. NJwx85
    Thanks Don.
  3. NJwx85
    I couldn't be happier that this god forsaken Winter is coming to an early and abrupt end. My wife and I are expecting our third in early April and we're hoping for nice weather so that we can take him outside for walks.
  4. NJwx85
    Happy Everyone gets screwed day. 59 pages + for a dusting/flurries.
  5. NJwx85
    We had a recent March, might have been 2017 or 2018 with 4 or 5 big storms in March. We got into a pattern where we got coastals every week, but that was definitely an anomaly. One of my all time favorite storms, March 2010 was a 5" rain maker, occurring a few weeks after the snowicane.
  6. NJwx85
    Friday marks the end of prime snow season for the NY metro which runs from roughly December 20th to the Friday after President's Day. Of course it can and probably will snow in March and April but you start to run into significant problems. In some ways sun angle is already an issue. It snowed at my house for 8 hours on Saturday and we ended up with about an inch. And most of that accumulated after 5PM when the sun went down. Other than my cars, I didn't even have to clean it up. My biggest snowfall of the season this year was 5" and it was back in December.
  7. NJwx85
    That was the wildest storm ever and led to a period of major flooding in March because of the runoff in NNJ.
  8. NJwx85
    Who are you and why are you using my name?
  9. NJwx85
    He’s all about clicks these days.
  10. NJwx85
    It’s a lot more amped than the GFS which is typical at this range. It closes off the ULL in a good spot. But it’s probably wrong.
  11. NJwx85
    Boxing Day was a different time. Over 14 years ago. The models were far less skilled then. This is common for wound up coastals. Give it till Monday night.
  12. NJwx85
    Shame….shame….shame
  13. NJwx85
    Snowing lightly finally here in Rockland.
  14. NJwx85
    Nothing here in Rockland County. Looks like the cutoff line right now is near Yonkers.
  15. NJwx85
    I don’t favor the NAM, exactly the opposite. The HRRR is completely out of range.
  16. NJwx85
    It’s snowing now in DC at the White House.
  17. NJwx85
    The 18z NAM 12k is weaker with the precip than 12z. Double digit snows in VA cut back to 6-8”. Philly went from 6 to 4.
  18. NJwx85
    3k NAM ticked North from 12z. Snow into Orange County vs Bergen County at 03z.
  19. NJwx85
    Why are people looking at the HRRR at this range? It’s useful once it actually starts snowing to pick out banding features. I wouldn’t worry about it unless the NAM caves this next run.
  20. NJwx85
    The dividing line is 195.
  21. NJwx85
    Can’t wait for the, “sun angle” conversations in about 3 weeks. It’s coming folks. Better cash in this week.
  22. NJwx85
    The RGEM isn’t a great model. Like the NAM it tends to make wild jumps inside of 48hrs. They are useful but only if you know how to use them.
  23. NJwx85
    Warning level is 7” and it’s based on probability which for those areas is low.
  24. NJwx85
    Winter storm warning here 5-7”
  25. NJwx85
    Really nothing has changed since yesterday except that totals have gone up pretty much everywhere except the far East end.
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