NJwx85
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About NJwx85
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The RGEM isn’t a great model. Like the NAM it tends to make wild jumps inside of 48hrs. They are useful but only if you know how to use them.
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Warning level is 7” and it’s based on probability which for those areas is low.
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Winter storm warning here 5-7”
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Really nothing has changed since yesterday except that totals have gone up pretty much everywhere except the far East end.
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I didn’t say a shift couldn’t happen, but that would screw some inland areas.
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That's what you get for living in the middle of the ocean.
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You've been on here long enough to know that not everyone can win in a setup like this.
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GFS has been very steady. I think it has the best handle of all the guidance.
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Why are you using the EPS mean to make a snowfall forecast?
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That's more like it, NAM caves.
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15z SREF looks warm for the coast.
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I'm going to go out on a limb and say that if we don't cash in with the storm towards the end of next week, our next chance won't come until mid February.
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Orographically enhanced lift.
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Does this look like a cold pattern to you in the East?
