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hlcater

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Everything posted by hlcater

  1. hlcater
    Now this is quite the ensemble mean. More than half the members in the low 970s/960s. EDIT: Think that's the first time I've seen such a deep mean at this range. If there was any doubt that there was big league potential with this one
  2. hlcater
    Also has a really bizarre (relative to other guidance especially) evolution of the weekend system. Super far NW and a much more anemic looking cold sector. Still gets into the mid 970s however.
  3. hlcater
    EPS mean
  4. hlcater
  5. hlcater
    Dw guys it’s coming home. Chicago folks need to get their barometers ready and put eurythmics on blast
  6. hlcater
    Looking at the 12z runs
  7. hlcater
    This is one of the worst 384hr GEFS means I can recall... Quite literally zero winners on here.
  8. hlcater
    When weak/strung out is an option, its usually a pretty safe bet to go with that
  9. hlcater
    Euro continues to be slower and much more amplified. Bomb in the lakes by this weekend.
  10. hlcater
    more like WAP
  11. hlcater
    Don't know whether you can call that signal after D10 a -EPO
  12. hlcater
    This was certainly unexpected
  13. hlcater
    Gut saying WAD this year. We'll see.
  14. hlcater
    Gonna go out and say it snows at least one (1) time for most members of the sub.
  15. hlcater
    Kinda wonder if we start impinging on length records depending on eventual track. There is potential that Phillippe is still around in 10 days.
  16. hlcater
    Idk that eye has cleared out considerably and cloud tops have continued to cool. Interested to see what the plane finds here shortly. Has a shot at cat 3 over the next 24 hours or so imo.
  17. hlcater
    The decay was pretty neat to watch actually. Cold water starved the cyclone from the inside out.
  18. hlcater
    This is far from the worst offender (probably not even top 10) but there's a clear difference in threads that involve the northeast and those that do not .
  19. hlcater
    Remarkable how the main thread becomes unusable whenever the storm *could* pass within 500 miles of the northeast
  20. hlcater
    This is whole situation reminds me a lot of hurricane lane in the central pacific a few years ago
  21. hlcater
    142SFMR and 147FL on the most recent pass.
  22. hlcater
    Absolute beauty of a cyclone out there today
  23. hlcater
    Haha……..
  24. hlcater
    So Jose might be a hurricane
  25. hlcater
    2 hours out. It’ll be well timed I think
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