Jump to content

hlcater

Members
  • Posts

    2,685
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by hlcater

  1. The solution to getting snow across portions of iowa seems to be letting the low deepen quickly. The 18z euro has a far better developed deformation zone to the west of the low compared to other models and has 1-4" across eastern iowa because of it.
  2. GFS has a system in the medium range that hasn't shown up previously
  3. Perpetual cool NW flow with absolutely zero precip to be seen. December 2017 vibes.
  4. I’d say 20-24” in CR. There is precedent for large storms elsewhere in Iowa, CR has just had an epic run of bad luck and is not representative of climo imo.
  5. First flakes in Iowa city today. No accumulation as expected
  6. agreed. This gradual slope down to winter has been somewhat atypical over the past 5-6 seasons.
  7. Looking like several snow chances in the sub after about day 5. More or less on schedule I guess
  8. Bastardi is an idiot, straight up. There is no "wealth of knowledge" over there, I can assure you of that.
  9. Tomorrow is kinda interesting. Rapidly progressive triple point could support some highly sheared, relatively low topped supercells with a hail and brief tornado threat. I have an exam at 6:30 so I will not be chasing. Would expect supercells to be very long and quite skinny based on relatively weak directional shear but exceptional speed shear. Interested to see how that ages.
  10. Sit on the surface low tomorrow and profit off some high octane tornadic rain showers.
  11. I see this thread is off to an excellent start
  12. 150kts FL. No SFMR data so im interested to see what the sonde shows. 0.85 reduction is 130kts.
  13. I’d not be surprised to see the true intensity here north of 140kts barring any marked changes prior to the 00z fix
  14. The eye is also too small for an annular storm currently. Annular storms tend to have a relatively low ratio of eye:storm.
×
×
  • Create New...