hlcater

Real chance we go into february here with under 5" of seasonal snowfall and BA temp anomalies...

3" on the nose today. More than tripling my season total coming into today in Iowa City

NAM at 84 tends to be north so not putting a ton of stock in that. As others have said, not really gonna put money in this coming north until there's a marked trend of this system doing so.

I’m here to promote high quality discussion with fellow winter weather enthusiasts like me!!!!!

I just want to get pasted with the white stuff

Yea that system tuesday could drop some cement out here if things trend right. NAM/Euro anecdotally have seemed to handle these setups pretty well in the past and they're the ones showing snow this time so I guess we'll see.

I think this is probably the most likely outcome. AA for sure but I’m not convinced that we get crazy anomalies rainers for days tho

DAB+ out there to whiten things up

Comatose this far west so far and probably until at least Christmas

Yea this thing is in free fall again…

Nope still straight as an arrow en route

To this note I really think the only big thing that will limit Milton *is* shallow shelf waters as it passes near/south of scorpion reef.

Keep in mind that core dynamics during RI and the atmospheric environment (ie atmospheric temps aloft) are also contributors to MPI, not just OHC.

That look combined with NOAA43's radar scans earlier and 11nmi RMW.... ooof. Expecting substantial strengthening tonight. Could wake up to a major.

This is extremely important and worrying for surge. Massive hurricane force wind field combined with coastal geometry could easily yield 20+ft surge in spots.