Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
-
Posts
2,200 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
-
Wow. The Euro ensembles clustered between Myrtle beach and Charleston. Very few into N.C.
-
FV3-GFS another large shift SW.
-
I think that until I see the next GFS
-
I didn’t see the Euro shifting way east. Especially not it’s ensembles.
-
It’s actually cape fear not Wilmington. So not that much further north actually.
-
It’s the GFS, didn’t get its nickname for no reason
-
So we went from WNW to due west movement in he latest advisory. Interesting.
-
6Z HWRF a carbon copy of 0Z Euro. Yikes
-
If you’re in central or WNC you better beg and plead that the Euro is wrong. That’s Biblical flooding.
-
My worst fear for WNC just happened with the Euro run. And then the Euro ensembles cluster from Charleston to Myrtle makes it even worse. With the flow enhancement, some mountain and foothill locations would see 4 feet of rain. Wow.
-
All track depending. It’s going to stall, just a matter of where.
-
And an ark.
-
Curious on your thoughts but this cannot be good for the mountains and foothills with the enhanced flow into this area.
-
I would never trust a model in which the ridge is stronger each run and the LP further north and east. The GFS has been horrendous with this storm especially in regards to strength of this storm which is everything. I would not be shocked at all to see a Charleston to Georgetown landfall moving NW from there.
-
Yep. Look no further than the EPS and the UK ensembles. Definitely show what would be a Charleston landfall. Flo is going to have to get her act going soon as most models have her starting her WNW and eventually NW motion soon.
-
Wow you definitely can see the south movement there. Good comparison
-
I’m shocked at the EPS. Virtually every member is SW of the Euro run with a concentration on Charleston.
-
Can't see it. What's it look like? -
9Z SREF just crushes WNC. Basically everyone west of 77
-
If we get that, we will be playing with house money the rest of winter. And it's not even winter yet lol
-
I've seen this too often. Never bet against climo and the NW winter shift 36 hours out.
-
I knew the GFS would come around. Actually looks like the big CMC run from yesterday.
-
True. Seems like RS Central high school is usually where the line is drawn.
-
You coming home to Marion for this one?
-
It's such a tight gradient so it's hard to explain. Picture can explain better lol.
