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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    Yeah it fizzled into an inch or 2 most places with maybe some enhancement invof south shore...
  2. BGM Blizzard
    Not much of a break between overrunning and when light precip from main event moves into Southern Tier, but 3z Tuesday looked like the best break line. Monday precip/kuchera thru 3z Tuesday... 12z Monday thru 12z Tuesday precip/kuchera...
  3. BGM Blizzard
    SLP track/position looks about same actually, but it's definitely wetter and maybe a tad warmer. 12z 18z
  4. BGM Blizzard
    One potential detriment I see to the Mon-Tues storm is forward speed of the system. We get like .1 to .2" of overrunning precip on Monday, a lull most of Monday night, and then the main event is pretty much a 8-10 hour slug but it's over just about everywhere except the North Country by 21z Tuesday.
  5. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS mean and member spread thru duration of Thur-Fri storm...
  6. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS for Thur-Fri storm. Def a noticeable bump NW from 0z.
  7. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS mean for the Mon-Tues storm only. There was definitely a tightening of the goal posts in the spread... Total 10:1 snowfall member spread thru end of the storm...
  8. BGM Blizzard
    12z EC Thur-Fri storm precip. Definitely a noticeable bump NW from 0z which is to be expected since the OP was SE of the mean...
  9. BGM Blizzard
    Another solid hit forum wide for Mon-Tues. Verbatim WNY and south shore actually do the best due to bit more precip and better ratios... Precip... Pre-storm Kuchera Post-storm Kuchera...
  10. BGM Blizzard
    Updated HWO...
  11. BGM Blizzard
    0z EPS total mean precip and 10:1 snowfall thru Saturday/Day 9...
  12. BGM Blizzard
    0z EPS mean also shifted SE vs. 12z for the Thur-Fri storm but not as much as the OP...
  13. BGM Blizzard
    0z EPS mean for Mon-Tue storm shifted NW a bit vs 12z and more precip for the Finger Lakes and points west...
  14. BGM Blizzard
    0z Euro total precip, 10:1 snowfall, and Kuchera snowfall thru the end of the Thur-Fri storm...
  15. BGM Blizzard
    0z Euro way further SE vs. 12z for the Thur-Fri storm...
  16. BGM Blizzard
    0z Euro still a solid hit for Mon-Tues...
  17. BGM Blizzard
    0z Euro even drier than 18z for the weekend...
  18. BGM Blizzard
    Looks like the 0z NAM taking a dump on the weekend storm too. At this point this weak sauce just needs to get out of the way for the early week storm.
  19. BGM Blizzard
    Not much. 18z EPS and esp the 18z Euro both took a dump for the weekend storm compared to 12z precip. Hopefully just an off hour hiccup. Euro precip and kuchera... EPS precip mean...
  20. BGM Blizzard
    18z EPS for early week storm. Slight up tick in precip from 12z for finger lakes and south shore fwiw...
  21. BGM Blizzard
    No that means there still a few NW outlier solutions in the spread that don't result in all snow as p-type...
  22. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS mean 10:1 total snowfall combined... 12z EPS individual members total 10:1 snowfall combined...
  23. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS mean precip and mean 10:1 snowfall for Thur-Fri storm...
  24. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS mean precip and 10:1 mean snowfall for Mon-Tue storm Individual members 10:1 total snowfall thru 18z Wednesday...
  25. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS mean precip for weekend storm...
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