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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    BUF-ROC steamrolled. Little bit less precip in CNY compared to 18z...
  2. BGM Blizzard
    Track and 850 temps near identical to 18z run so far, precip more developed on nw side...
  3. BGM Blizzard
    0z Euro identical in track to 18z thru hour 25...
  4. BGM Blizzard
  5. BGM Blizzard
    First and only forecast on snow amounts in case I end up falling asleep again like last night. Congrats to the BUF-ROC crew on being the forum jackpot for this one! Still like the chances for those of you on the BUF cwa border (Matt, Syrmax etc) to get a low end warning snowfall of around 8". For the rest of us off to the S and E, we will have to accept our slopfest and enjoy the storm vicariously through our our more fortunate posters while hoping the Thursday-Friday storm yields a better result.
  6. BGM Blizzard
    The sweating pretty much ceased after 12z runs for BGM to ALB. We will flip to sleet and freezing rain after a few inches of snow. The Finger Lakes to Mohawk Valley are now the sweat zone.
  7. BGM Blizzard
    18z Hi-res Canadian shifted NW from 12z. Accumulation maps @tim123...
  8. BGM Blizzard
    Biggest detriment to this event is this storm hauls ass out of here. 18z Euro has everyone except NNY drying out before 15z Tuesday...
  9. BGM Blizzard
    If a warning, probably a WSW up your way since there would be atleast some snow and sleet beforehand. Possibly ISW for atleast some of their lower Hudson county zones though where it looks like it's entirely a rain vs freezing rain event.
  10. BGM Blizzard
    18z accumulation maps... 10:1 Kuchera Sleet Freezing Rain
  11. BGM Blizzard
    Euro precip 12z vs 18z... 18z 12z
  12. BGM Blizzard
    Some 18z Euro frames. In addition to a little NW and wetter, also a little warmer I think...
  13. BGM Blizzard
    18z Euro slp track looks a little NW vs. 12z and possibly wetter...
  14. BGM Blizzard
    18z GFS v16 parallel for mon-tues...
  15. BGM Blizzard
    18z NAM 3k 18z NAM 12k 18z RGEM 12z GFS 12z Euro
  16. BGM Blizzard
    BGM update makes a solid case for their reasoning and points out some things to watch for...
  17. BGM Blizzard
    Buf cwa upgraded to warning...
  18. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS for Thur-Fri... Following the OP, noticeable reduction/SE shift in precip and snowfall mean but still a nice look for this far out.
  19. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS for Mon-Tue is near identical to 6z in mean precip amounts. For snowfall mean, just a very slight SE nudge in axis but also an increase in snowfall as goalposts continue to narrow...
  20. BGM Blizzard
    10:1 Kuchera
  21. BGM Blizzard
    WNY and NNY definitely the place to be this week for sure. BUF, ROC, and SYR are poised to make up some significant ground on BGM for YTD snowfall.
  22. BGM Blizzard
    Euro snowfall maps for Thur-Fri... 10:1 Pre-storm Kuchera Post-storm Kuchera
  23. BGM Blizzard
    Euro precip for Thur-Fri only. Along with the SE shift in track, precip also cut for most places vs. 0z... 12z 0z
  24. BGM Blizzard
    Euro a little SE of 0z run for Thur-Fri. Maps coming shortly.
  25. BGM Blizzard
    BGM will probably only upgrade the BUF border counties from Steuben to Oneida to a warning with the afternoon update. The rest of the CNY zones either hold onto their Watch or get converted to a WWA is my guess given the level of uncertainty.
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