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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    BGM and BUF have extended all LESW and WWA for the LO affected areas thru midnight now...
  2. BGM Blizzard
    BGM adding Tompkins and Chenango counties to the WWA.
  3. BGM Blizzard
    Me too!
  4. BGM Blizzard
    Parts of Monroe County looks like they're about to get hit
  5. BGM Blizzard
    All these pictures take me back to what happened here in December. Very nice!
  6. BGM Blizzard
    Great pics!!
  7. BGM Blizzard
    Some yellows popping over LO
  8. BGM Blizzard
    South shore looks like it's about to get smoked. Odds of a LESW for Monroe?
  9. BGM Blizzard
    Be nice to get a re-run of the epic LES stretch we had in December 2010 sometime. Those events had to be nowcasted the whole time as evident by the escalation and spread in the advisories and warnings that were issued. BGM racked up over 20" in that stretch and the winter of 2010-11 was 6th snowiest all time at BGM with 117.3.
  10. BGM Blizzard
    BGM relying mostly on the RGEM...
  11. BGM Blizzard
    No problem. So long as im paying a subscriber fee for these I'm going to get my money's worth even if I'm not getting hit with snow. Have to say... Skaneateles looks to be as good as any place for this event. It seems to be in the crosshairs of every model's band placement. Hopefully it works out and you get some good pics or video.
  12. BGM Blizzard
  13. BGM Blizzard
    18z HRDPS looks similar to the 18z NAM 3k for band location with exception of being drier along immediate south shore
  14. BGM Blizzard
    Wow that 18z RGEM run was juiced!
  15. BGM Blizzard
    The 12z WRFs are hinting at a Cayuga Lake enhanced finger band potentially hitting down here. Meanwhile, the 18z NAM 3k shows the main LO band stretching all the way to Sullivan County in the southwestern Catskills. With upstream connections in play, there definitely going to be some nowcasting adjustments for this one. Nam 3k
  16. BGM Blizzard
    Pretty conservative roll out from BGM. I will go out on a limb and say this map will look much different by tomorrow as the event unfolds.
  17. BGM Blizzard
    BGM...
  18. BGM Blizzard
    Here we go...
  19. BGM Blizzard
    My BGM prediction for this afternoon: LESW for Cayuga-Onondaga WWA for Chenango-Cortland-Madison-Tompkins-Senaca Then as the event unfolds, atleast Cortland will be upgraded to a LESW, and Tioga-Broome-Delaware possibly added to WWA.
  20. BGM Blizzard
  21. BGM Blizzard
    In some fairness, they do break it down a bit in the additional details section. And it is likely that some portions of the watch maybe only get 1 or 2 inches (mostly because of Seneca County being included in the watch).
  22. BGM Blizzard
    Looks like blue stripes over @tim123 and @96blizz houses as well
  23. BGM Blizzard
    12z Nam 3k, GFS, GFS v16, and RGEM. Does seem like the projected flow may be shifting to be a bit more NW resulting in a less organized band potentially? Nam 3k GFS GFS v16 RGEM
  24. BGM Blizzard
    Looks like the Thruway gets the shaft...
  25. BGM Blizzard
    6z runs... Euro GFS GFSv16 Nam 3k RGEM
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