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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    GFS gonna be another OTS dud.
  2. BGM Blizzard
    Just revisiting the 12z Euro, it looks like the primary piece of energy for this storm starts coming ashore in the Pac NW Tuesday Evening and doesn't fully come onshore until Wednesday morning. And then hauls ass SE once fully in the flow. So there could be a lot of volatility in the models even within the 48hr timeframe.
  3. BGM Blizzard
    18z EPS individual members. A fair amount of complete misses to the SE and also some far west NY specials
  4. BGM Blizzard
    18z EPS mean shifted SE a bit
  5. BGM Blizzard
    @tim12318z Euro surface and 500mb at Hour 90 (last frame of the run). 12z images for same time below that. 18z 12z
  6. BGM Blizzard
    EPS still solid for this far out
  7. BGM Blizzard
    The LES bands are readily identifiable. @LakeEffectKingwould approve of this map.
  8. BGM Blizzard
    Its a fast mover. 8-10 hour storm. Euro maps...
  9. BGM Blizzard
    Pretty incredible what's shaping up for the Mid Atl area tonight into Monday. The last minute model shifts have been astounding. Reading the NWS discussions this AM makes me all sorts of jealous. Someone down there probably getting 2-4"/hr rates and 12+ out of this wherever the intense weenie band(s) set up. PHL
  10. BGM Blizzard
    EPS still favoring interior areas for end of week
  11. BGM Blizzard
    31.3° and overcast with mist. Untreated paved surfaces are just wet however.
  12. BGM Blizzard
    Euro a solid hit for most. It's a fast mover though, in and out in under 12 hours.
  13. BGM Blizzard
    Canadian Ensemble
  14. BGM Blizzard
    GEFS
  15. BGM Blizzard
    GFS probably overdone but a plowable snowfall looking pretty likely across that area. DCA might have more snow than Albany and bunch of other MA and NE sites after Monday. We need to cash in on the D5-6 event, that's all I can say.
  16. BGM Blizzard
    18z EPS for D5-6
  17. BGM Blizzard
    Currently 46° and light drizzle but only 0.10 of rain here on the day luckily. Loving that dry slot coming across PA and OH that's headed for here. Ffffff this weather.
  18. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS for end of week system
  19. BGM Blizzard
    EPS is tightening up for tomorrow. That area from BUF to central Wayne and points nw looks locked for 3-6.
  20. BGM Blizzard
    I'd say lock it in but we all know it's best to NOT be in the bullseye this far out.
  21. BGM Blizzard
    UK is a bit east with the D5-6 event. Seems very plausible. I could see that lead cold front causing this follow up energy to slide out too far E.
  22. BGM Blizzard
    6z NBM 6z Euro
  23. BGM Blizzard
    Icon better than last 2 runs but still not great
  24. BGM Blizzard
  25. BGM Blizzard
    Central and Southern ADK
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