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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    0z GEFS 0z Canadian Ensembles
  2. BGM Blizzard
    0z eps
  3. BGM Blizzard
    Great storm. Around 20 inches here... but your current location was in the jack zone of widespread 30-40" amounts.
  4. BGM Blizzard
    EPS has some heavy hitters in the spread. We wait.
  5. BGM Blizzard
    Hi res RGEM is pushing almost 60" Max on the Kuchera ratio
  6. BGM Blizzard
    18z Hi Res RGEM
  7. BGM Blizzard
    GL to Wolf. If the Tug region is still a snow capital in another 20-25 years when I get to retirement age, I'm definitely either moving or at least buying a seasonal property somewhere up there to live in during the winter months. BGM is too synoptic dependent to satisfy my snow fix.
  8. BGM Blizzard
  9. BGM Blizzard
    2021 was 5th warmest at BGM. 6/10 warmest happened in the past 15 years. 9/10 warmest happened from 1990-present. Not good.
  10. BGM Blizzard
    Yep... yawwwwnnnn. Outside of the localized lake effect, nothing on the horizon any time soon for synoptic snow. Until then, peace out.
  11. BGM Blizzard
    Good insight from one the best Met posters in the New England forum.
  12. BGM Blizzard
    I'd wait before jumping since this hasn't even broken loose in the Pacific yet and wont be entirely onshore for another 24 hours or so. Given this is all northern stream and it's a fast flow, the typical lead time for models to resolve any initiation type errors early on is much shorter than usual... i.e. there could be significant last minute changes yet to come IMO. I still like the odds of the Bgm to Capital District area getting atleast a few to several inches.
  13. BGM Blizzard
    Noticeably SE from 18z run and weaker. Shitty run for sure.
  14. BGM Blizzard
    Blah, not going to be any better than 18z run, maybe tad more south if anything. Still time.
  15. BGM Blizzard
    S/w a little slower and maybe a little more organized thru H51 on H500. Hopefully that yields a better solution downstream.
  16. BGM Blizzard
    And this thing isn't even fully onshore yet for another ~30 hours or so. Anything can happen.
  17. BGM Blizzard
    UK is still a complete miss.
  18. BGM Blizzard
    GEFS
  19. BGM Blizzard
    Major nw shift on GEFS. Not surprising given how far east it was.
  20. BGM Blizzard
    Still work to do, but atleast the GFS doesn't look like a corpse this run.
  21. BGM Blizzard
    Only if it shows something unfavorable
  22. BGM Blizzard
    GFS is much improved this run on H5. S/w is more amped and digging in much better thru H72.
  23. BGM Blizzard
    RGEM looks about the same as 18z but more constricted precip shield. Still a complete miss.
  24. BGM Blizzard
    Small nw jog on the ICON but still a complete miss.
  25. BGM Blizzard
    NAM more amped than 18z but still a bit too south for a widespread decent hit. Extrapolated might be decent for atleast southern parts of C/E NY.
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