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BGM Blizzard

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  1. BGM Blizzard
    State College just to the south has already issued a HWO for all of C PA
  2. BGM Blizzard
    More GEFS pics. Still alot of misses.
  3. BGM Blizzard
    Looks like the GEFS is gonna shift W this run vs 18z. Will be interesting to see the spread here shortly.
  4. BGM Blizzard
    Thinking GFS def gonna go boom again this run.
  5. BGM Blizzard
    Yeah Icon way W of the 12z run. Big hit from here to Alb verbatim.
  6. BGM Blizzard
    18z eps shifted a bit E.
  7. BGM Blizzard
    18z Euro run just ended. Not sure can really extrapolate much without more frames, but here's the H500 compare to 12z/H96. Looks fairly similar to 12z to my untrained eye. 18z EPS out shortly to 144 hours. 18z 12z
  8. BGM Blizzard
    As already posted, slight shift W in the GEFS but the mean is still well east of the Op. Anything is possible.
  9. BGM Blizzard
    Yep def going to be west of 12z by atleast a little bit.
  10. BGM Blizzard
    Thinking the 18z GFS might come in even more amped than 12z. The vort is stronger and a little west of 12z in Ozarks.
  11. BGM Blizzard
    Bing Buf Btv
  12. BGM Blizzard
    Albany
  13. BGM Blizzard
    12z EPS... Like the rest of the 12z, night and day difference compared to 0z runs.
  14. BGM Blizzard
    kuchera porn
  15. BGM Blizzard
    Euro gonna be way west of 0z. Bomb forthcoming.
  16. BGM Blizzard
    Cmc ensemble mean shifted W about as much as the GEFS.
  17. BGM Blizzard
    Operational GFS is definitely a W outlier compared to the ensemble spread, but the shift from 6z to 12z was big one. 6z 12z
  18. BGM Blizzard
    GEFS still has a bunch of whiffs, but def a sizeable shift in the mean.
  19. BGM Blizzard
    The 6/18z eps only goes out to 144. But you're right, def a noticeable shift to the west in the cluster. Extrapolated there would likely be more favorable solutions downstream than what was in the 0z spread. 0z 6z
  20. BGM Blizzard
    0z EPS not looking good either
  21. BGM Blizzard
    Cmc ensembles are mostly duds as well. That said, the H500 maps continue to look completely different from run to run with lots of waves running around all over the place. Still time for something to materialize.
  22. BGM Blizzard
    GEFS are mostly misses
  23. BGM Blizzard
    N and S stream phased in just in time to suck it in and brush the I81 corridor verbatim. Lots of phasing potential in the ensemble spreads.
  24. BGM Blizzard
    Yeah legit 5-6" per hour rate for multiple consecutive hours with that December 2020 storm here. Only thing missing was the wind and lightning.
  25. BGM Blizzard
    12z ensemble runs for these first 2 systems thru Monday... EPS GEFS CMC
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