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BGM Blizzard

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Everything posted by BGM Blizzard

  1. BGM Blizzard
    Here the precip breakdown by type and 10:1 without sleet included.
  2. BGM Blizzard
    Gonna be nip and tuck down here. Definitely looks to start as ice but hopefully not for long. Blah.
  3. BGM Blizzard
    Yeah I meant the mean shifted. With more nw solutions and less se solutions the mean will shift to the nw.
  4. BGM Blizzard
    I'm just busting your chops.
  5. BGM Blizzard
    Looks good for Buffalo and that's all that matters
  6. BGM Blizzard
    Eps shifted nw as one would expect following that Op run.
  7. BGM Blizzard
  8. BGM Blizzard
  9. BGM Blizzard
    That's some major difference at H5 between 0z and 12z
  10. BGM Blizzard
    Euro looks like it wants to shift nw this run based on the compare at h81. Arctic boundary is slower and/or further nw and trough is more neutral looking in the sw.
  11. BGM Blizzard
    12 CMC ensemble mean is juicy as a result of better clustering this run.
  12. BGM Blizzard
    Does give me some pause being that they are usually SE of the Op more often than not. But the EPS have been fairly adamant on being further SE as well and that does seem very logical given how anomalous that arctic HP is as Tombo and various NWS outlets have alluded.
  13. BGM Blizzard
    UK shifted nw a bit
  14. BGM Blizzard
    6z eps has alot of good hits for most of the forum. Better track angle too.
  15. BGM Blizzard
    6z Euro was bit nw of 0z at 90 hour end time. Finally stopped the SE bleed this run.
  16. BGM Blizzard
    Hit a low -16.8° @ 7:19. Currently -9.6°. So over this nonsense.
  17. BGM Blizzard
    Forgot to post the CMC Ensembles earlier. Also shifted SE.
  18. BGM Blizzard
    Eps mean shifted a little SE as well
  19. BGM Blizzard
    Euro continues to shift SE. Decent snowfall south of i-90 with little to no mixed precip anywhere... just ra/sn verbatim. Before long it'll look like the UK and mostly hit south of the forum. Stuck @129 hours on WB and PW.
  20. BGM Blizzard
    0z gefs not nearly as cutterish as 12z/18z. Several heavy hitters in the spread.
  21. BGM Blizzard
    UK
  22. BGM Blizzard
    Gefs coming in SE of the 12/18z runs and juiced.
  23. BGM Blizzard
    GFS trying for a phased storm around 200 too.
  24. BGM Blizzard
    That's multiple consecutive SE shift by the Op. Gotta imagine the gefs will start moving SE this run. Verbatim, lots of mixed precip with that run.
  25. BGM Blizzard
    18z eps SE of 12z
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