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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. not enough QPF for ice storm warnings and we aren’t advecting in colder temps / lower dews so its more of an in situ icing with a slow climb to 32 sure it will be icy in NNE but think it will fall short of being that destructive
  2. IMO you will be pleasantly surprised .. think our area is good for 1"-2"
  3. yeah that was a wild solution .. verbatim much of SNE sub zero midday
  4. Haven't had a 6"+ storm locally since 1/7/24 .. pretty bad
  5. dam 3k NAM is just about a KU not bad with invt snows hanging on into the afternoon!
  6. I hear ya man it's been a tough stretch. I'm used to being on the wrong side of the gradient in marginal events over here so I get it.
  7. sad times .. this must be how the late 80s / early 90s felt feels like a region wide 3"-6" would be a KU storm at this point
  8. yeah too bad the GFS is the only model on board for that one .. 1"-3" would feel like a SECS
  9. RGEM has been consistently showing C-1" from the norlunish feature on Saturday .. not much but would be nice for the areas that were shutout on Tuesday
  10. I'm sure the echoes pivoting east around the Berkshires will fill in a bit more but not impressed so far
  11. Precip after 0z from the 18z runs for ORH: NAM 0.55" GFS 0.29" no way that verifies looking at radar
  12. 30.4/28 freezing rain breeze out of the NNE picking up
  13. temps cooling off, down to 30.0 dropped 0.7 past 30 mins
  14. flipped back to snow / sleet mix here about 10 mins ago temp creeping up to 30.5
  15. 15z RAP coming in much colder at the surface than even the 12z run
  16. 03z HRRR coldest run in awhile .. would keep most areas NW of 495/90 snow through 21z
  17. doesn't make it right even if it does thats a lot of snow its printing out with 925 mb > 0 C def not the trend you want to see for the marginal areas in metro west
  18. 1" of QPF in 3 hrs in an isothermal profile .. would could go wrong
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