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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. yeah too bad the GFS is the only model on board for that one .. 1"-3" would feel like a SECS
  2. RGEM has been consistently showing C-1" from the norlunish feature on Saturday .. not much but would be nice for the areas that were shutout on Tuesday
  3. I'm sure the echoes pivoting east around the Berkshires will fill in a bit more but not impressed so far
  4. Precip after 0z from the 18z runs for ORH: NAM 0.55" GFS 0.29" no way that verifies looking at radar
  5. 30.4/28 freezing rain breeze out of the NNE picking up
  6. temps cooling off, down to 30.0 dropped 0.7 past 30 mins
  7. flipped back to snow / sleet mix here about 10 mins ago temp creeping up to 30.5
  8. 15z RAP coming in much colder at the surface than even the 12z run
  9. 03z HRRR coldest run in awhile .. would keep most areas NW of 495/90 snow through 21z
  10. doesn't make it right even if it does thats a lot of snow its printing out with 925 mb > 0 C def not the trend you want to see for the marginal areas in metro west
  11. 1" of QPF in 3 hrs in an isothermal profile .. would could go wrong
  12. As much as I want to believe the GFS is too amped, it would really fit the tenor of the past 3 years
  13. based on 500 mb I would have thought it would be a bigger hit tbh can't complain though that was a near ideal run for SNE and plenty of opportunities after this one
  14. looked like a good run to me .. I'd take advisory amounts and some sleet to lock in the pack
  15. cold airmass to the north at least gives us a shot .. not a bad look but prob would be better the more latitude you got
  16. its only October and we are already extrapolating the 384 hr GFS
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