the trend has been to dig south the past couple days .. having said that I have a tough time seeing it come much further south
thats a legit cold shot post clipper though on the GFS
Yeah not buying it yet either, but we'll see
18z HRRR a little less robust but has the QPF max more oriented towards S NH .. another plausible solution
if you try to trace it back, the energy responsible for that s/w is over the pacific ocean off the coast of Japan
holding out some weenie hope that it “comes back” once its closer to the west coast ha
This is the aspect I find most interesting / frustrating .. The lack of good data really makes it difficult to state with any certainty what happens next. Should be a great learning experience.
btw really enjoy reading your volcano related posts here and at VC!