PowellVolz

Oh wow .

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Wow .

I’m shocked at MRX’s AFD for Wednesday. I’ve never seen this kind of wording this far out from them. I get being aware of the situation but dang. .

What the crap. This shows you why the mods are so hard to trust. .

Some unusual strong wording from MRX in their AFD for Wednesday/Night severe chances. “Much uncertainty still exists in the location, type(s), and magnitude of potential severe weather with this mid-week system. With respect to the cyclogenesis expected to occur on Wednesday, the GFS is the most aggressive deterministic model, suggesting the surface low to strengthen below 995mb as it moves into the lower Midwest. The ECMWF and CMC guidance are less aggressive with the CMC holding a more northerly track towards the Great Lakes. The strength and track of the system is key for efficiency of surface-based WAA and sufficient instability in our area. In any solution, strong deep- layer and low-level shear is expected, along with a veering vertical wind profile. The GFS solution, being most aggressive, suggests surface-based instability sufficient for organized supercellular convection Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night in southern portions of the area at a minimum. With this solution, a threat for all types of severe weather exists. However, the ECMWF and CMC solutions keep instability and convection as elevated with possible threats for damaging winds and hail. Ensemble solutions also vary significantly. Ultimately, this system will certainly be something to watch as we head into next week since potential exists for notable severe weather across southern portions of the U.S” .

I said this earlier after the Christmas Eve storm. The official total for Knoxville was 2” at TYS but in MRX’s write up they clearly state that between 3-4” was observed at TYS but the official was 2” because that’s how much they measured at that time. That makes absolutely no sense at all. That’s like saying the high temp was 90 degrees but it was only 88 when we checked it so that is what we wrote down. .

In North Knox Co we had 15-20”. .

SPC throwing out a mention for the southeast on Wednesday and Thursday. MRX actually added it in to their morning AFD also. .

My goodness .

2 feet in Denver is insane and it will probably be 70° by the end of the week, because it’s Denver. .

Yes I follow him. Would love to live where he does or have a “retirement” cabin up there. Could also have a place near Beach MTn. .

I would live up on Roan Mt about 4k feet. .

It honestly depends on what part of Knoxville you are asking about. Inside the city limits don’t usually get much but out in the county can sometimes be a totally different story. I’m north of Knoxville about 30 minutes and I picked up around 8-10” this past season. Most of it came on Christmas Eve. Knoxville had around 3” total. My elevation is about 400 to 500 feet higher and that makes a huge difference considering the majority of our snows have boarder line boundary temps. North and East Knox Co usually do much better than south and west Knox Co. .

Tom Niziol who worked for TWC has a house @ 3700’ on Roan Mountain says he’s had around 40” of snow so far this “season”. .

No way this is legit right? .

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Does it have WiFi capability? .

Which one did you get? My Davis crapped the bad last year and I need a new one. .

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Glad you jumped in with us. .

Daffodils are showing up now. Fruit trees are probably not far behind assuming we don’t get a harsh cold snap. .

Got to think SER shows up sooner than later and we start seeing cutters with thunderstorms. .

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