PowellVolz
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Everything posted by PowellVolz
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Be nice to get a couple shots of cold air in the mean time with half the country under some snow cover. Even if we don’t get in the heart of cold air, there’s enough to our north that a storm passing to our south will tap into it. Unless we get into a overrunning situation. .
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Highs in the low 40’s for the central valley with lows in the 20’s. If we can keep that low far enough south that the LLJ does blow us up I like our chances. Might even get some NW flow going on the wraparound. .
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Refresh my memory .
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That ole lightning in the winter thingy…
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Also just something to think about…. When arctic air is moving across the country, the mods can have a hard time picking up on waves that are imbedded in the flow. I remember several years ago we had arctic air in place and we were tracking a couple of big systems. The systems were several days apart but between the systems a inverted trough was sniffed out 48 hours before it hit and Knoxville got 4-6” off of it. .
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Just like the last two systems, the pattern gives us an opportunity to cash in but it does favor everyone west of the plateau and NW of 40/81. Not saying Knoxville, south won’t get in on the action but it’s not ideal. That being said, we were 25-50 miles from a good event. .
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Wasn’t 10-11 really cold? .
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Warm nose never made it north of 40 or west of 81. Dry air wasn’t really an issue IMO. Carver said MRX explained that the low pressure raced away from its forcing which shut the firehose off south of 40 and east of 24. The dry slot was just the system losing its lift on the south side of it. It makes me wonder had the system stayed with its dynamics would the warm nose been stronger and made it further NE? .
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Still snowing at Ober right now .
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I been on the outside of the line for both storms so far. A little too far south (5 miles) for yesterday and a little too far north west (10 miles) for last week. I ended up with 2.5” on elevated surfaces, around 1.5” on the lawn. .
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Around 1.5” on the ground. 90% of this is from the backside bands .
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At least we’ve got the PGA in Hawaii to watch while we wait .
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Looks like the meat of that will come right across me. .
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Welcome to East Tennessee weather….. .
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I’m in it. I’d say it’s heavier than the radar Is saying .
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That little line is dropping some serious snow on me and it ain’t moving fast. Also snow in Nashville is headed SE now. Don’t know if it will make it but it’s a nice burst also. .
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Starting to see a little SE movement in the snow NW of Knoxville .
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Pushing an inch now. Roads are icy with a coating of snow on them. We got so many heavy bursts of snow but too much of a break between them. Had this system been late afternoon, it would look a lot different north of 40. .
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We talked about that with the last storm. It’s one of the most bizarre things I’ve ever seen and it’s been going on for years. There’s no telling how many Mets MRX has went through but the jinks lives on. .
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On my earlier forecast from the NWS it said the snow would end around 8 which In reality means 6 because they always give a little cushion there. So unless something drastically changes we are just about finished in Knoxville .
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Feeling like that wrap around moisture ain’t materializing .
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No reports of any rain or mix north of 40 in the valley and CC on RadarScope shows that well. We have talked for days that interstate 40 was the line. .
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It was always like that. The NWS had most of the valley going back to snow around 4pm .
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My rates are much better than what’s being shown on radar. Maybe the DGZ is below the radar? .
