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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    MRX is starting to downplay the backside snow. Not that they ever played it up or anything but they are saying the mods are trending away from snow. I haven’t been able to looked deep into the mods but reading this board gave me the impression that we held steady or maybe got a little better today. [emoji1745] .
  2. PowellVolz
    I really think there will be some extra energy and lift moving through the flow that the mods won’t pick up on. I also think lapse rates will be high enough that downsloping won’t kill the valley like it usually does. I haven’t looked hard enough at the projections of the placement of the low but my location does best when the flow is more NNW than your typical NW. Anything west of you John that turns towards the valley usually dries up when it clears Anderson Co. .
  3. PowellVolz
    One thing that will also help (or hurt) is we are dealing with mid 40’s for several days before the snow starts instead of mid 60’s which is more typical. My point is there will be a wet ground with temps falling into the mid teens with snow showers. A 1/2 to 1” of snow will make the roads a disaster. .
  4. PowellVolz
    .
  5. PowellVolz
    You can say that again .
  6. PowellVolz
    Those streamers are not shaped like the typical NW flow. Almost looks like it’s part of the cold front. .
  7. PowellVolz
    Does the cold air overrunning a warm wet ground help with lift? .
  8. PowellVolz
    The pattern is loaded for Firehose February .
  9. PowellVolz
    If you’re looking to get your heart broken, you came to the right place. Welcome aboard .
  10. PowellVolz
    Yes.. I’d rather be playing golf than counting flurries when it’s 8 degrees outside. That’s almost as depressing as 33 and heavy rain. .
  11. PowellVolz
    Beggars can’t be choosers .
  12. PowellVolz
    Baby steps .
  13. PowellVolz
    I agree this probably ends up a cutter but Christmas and the March surprise has taught me with the new mods to wait until we get to d4 before I start to feel good or bad. .
  14. PowellVolz
    Lol…Yeah I really was just looking for a reason to use that gif. That being said… it doesn’t look good but at least we don’t feel like the mods have a handle on this. That Euro just got more complicated than yesterday’s runs. .
  15. PowellVolz
    .
  16. PowellVolz
    What’s funny is I would have completely understood if suppression was the issue. [emoji1745] .
  17. PowellVolz
    It’s reality bad. The fouls are 20-9 .
  18. PowellVolz
    How saturated is the DGZ? How low? .
  19. PowellVolz
    I’m still getting March vibs from this. .
  20. PowellVolz
    And the Euro being so dry makes it look like on the mods they are miles apart. .
  21. PowellVolz
    .
  22. PowellVolz
    It doesn’t apply to every storm but I always hated being in the bull’s-eye 5-6 days out. Will also be interesting to see what the NAM has when it’s in rage. Seen more than once the globals follow the NAM’s first big move. .
  23. PowellVolz
    If Florida doesn’t find a QB before next year, they might be worse than this year. .
  24. PowellVolz
    I agree with that… but I remember a really tacky tweet he made after the Christmas snow giving themselves an “A+” on their snow forecast when they were literally 3-5” off of their forecast. They said the wave that rode up the cold front “came out of nowhere” and that’s why their forecast missed on the snow. Lol… the wave riding the front was the loan snowmaker that was modeled days before the event. .
  25. PowellVolz
    Y’all have battered snow syndrome. This isn’t close to being over and I won’t be surprised to see the GFS go back to what it was showing yesterday and then flip again. .
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