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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    Ive been playing golf so I haven’t looked good but I read yesterday somewhere that some of the meso mods were showing 25 to 50 joules at the surface post cold front across the state. Now I didn’t go confirm it but I was thinking out loud that some of the stronger snow squalls might have 30-40mph winds in them especially across the plateau. If that was true about the surface instability, I was thinking that might help fight off any downsloping in the valley. [emoji1745] .
  2. PowellVolz
    This was my thoughts on the downslope issues. My area of the valley doesn’t have downslope issues with a NNW wind. .
  3. PowellVolz
    energy transfer maybe? .
  4. PowellVolz
    I’m in Halls and we never got warmer than 29. The high was supposed to be pushing 40. I remember Ober Gatlinburg was mid 40’s with rain, I was mid 20’s with heavy snow. Ended up with about 8” total. .
  5. PowellVolz
    That might be the February I’m remembering. Did we have like a 3 day overrunning event where we had heavy snow to sleet and freezing rain back to snow? Seems like I remember getting several inches of sleet. I was cleaning my gutters out every day. I was the only one doing that in my subdivision and several houses lost their gutters. Was that also the inverted trough up the valley 5” surprise year? .t
  6. PowellVolz
    Seems like a couple of years later we had another very cold January but the pattern reloaded in February and we had multiple winter systems over a two week period. .
  7. PowellVolz
    My memory is terrible but was it 2010/11 when we had multiple nights in Knoxville below zero. I believe that season was very active also with one big overrunning event and multiple small systems in a 3 week span starting right after Christmas. Or am I thinking of another year? .
  8. PowellVolz
    If you like being disappointed, welcome to the site. .
  9. PowellVolz
    I won’t know what to do if the GFS had this or had something like this 10 days ago. .
  10. PowellVolz
    You really helped me a lot right here. I haven’t been able to dig in with the mods because of work, so I’ve been trying to catch-up as I can. Thanks .
  11. PowellVolz
    I had no idea. I assumed it would be like Iowa, Nebraska etc…. Makes me wonder now if there’s hills in states I thought where basically flat. That’s a beautiful picture though .
  12. PowellVolz
    Geez… my bad lol .
  13. PowellVolz
    It’s definitely the same hour. Couldn’t imagine having to subtract time from it. .
  14. PowellVolz
    Minnesota has valleys? .
  15. PowellVolz
    WAA maybe? .
  16. PowellVolz
    I mowed today. Should be done until February preemerg .
  17. PowellVolz
    Doesn’t it make more sense for the clipper to follow the front as it pivots around the flow? .
  18. PowellVolz
    We ain’t gonna know anything until it happens it seems. .
  19. PowellVolz
    The GOM giveth and taketh away. We need the GOM 85% of the time for big snows but it’s a double edged sword. We are basically the same Lat as Oklahoma, West Arkansas and Texas panhandle. Those areas get big snows, they don’t really feed off the GOM and they have to fight off dry air from Arizona. Our life would have been so much easier had the App mountains not had a break in it around Chattanooga or the southern valley. It’s like a unrestricted pipeline for WAA. .
  20. PowellVolz
    Took this pic this morning going to work… .
  21. PowellVolz
    .
  22. PowellVolz
    That’s the thing I’m hoping for with the mods struggling to pick up on burps in the flow. A feature after the main event is still 6 days away. No telling what might pop up after we are able to sample the cutter and add in real info. .
  23. PowellVolz
    I had forgotten about the RGEM and yes it’s always good when it supports us. Would the meso mods help out any trying to get a better feel where the enhanced streamers might set up at? Speaking of the RGEM… I remember for the March system, it kept sniffing out that isolated heavy snowfall from N Knox Co down through W Knox Co into Roan, Loudon and McMinn. Sure enough it nailed that prediction. I was on the upper end of that and picked up 7-8” while a few miles north of me got 3-4”. My buddy in Farragut ended up with 10”. Friend of mine in Athens Tn got 4-5” when no mods except for the NAM and RGEM gave them several inches. .
  24. PowellVolz
    I honestly don’t know what to make of anything right now. Mods are crazier than my Ex Girlfriend .
  25. PowellVolz
    It might be our last bullet in the mag but it’s never a bad thing when MRX starts talking down on a system Obviously kidding here… .
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