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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. For the valley(outside of elevation) our climatology for cold and snow is from Jan 15th through Feb 15th. During this time we want the pattern on our side for our best opportunity to see some snow. We knew going into this winter that the overall pattern didn’t look good for us but it really hurts our chances when you have above average temps during our best chance for winter weather. That being said, several of our biggest snow in and around Knoxville came outside of our winter climo. .
  2. How does our pattern translate to severe this spring? .
  3. We wait all year for our month of winter climo and here we are, multiple systems with a workable track and we are almost 10° too warm. Seems like over the years we’ve only had a few overrunning events workout unless they track between the gulf coast and Cuba. .
  4. We actually had back to back February floods. 2018 and 19. In 18’ I had around 13” of rain in 3 days. 19’ I had 14” but it was over 5-6 days. In 18 I actually packed a bag for me and my son and was ready to go when it finally stopped. Water was coming up and over my only exit out of my subdivision. .
  5. I’m thinking we are almost left with needing a wave to ride the cold front of a cutter. Obviously it’s not the only way but I believe the alternative has a very low probability of happening. It’s pretty amazing…. This is a pattern that we do not want and this is our 3rd winter in a row. On the flip side, we can’t get patterns that we can work with to hang around more than 7-10 days. .
  6. Downsloping anyone? It’s probably 20 degrees warmer in Gatlinburg than Knoxville. .
  7. I’m always having issues with it. I wish AW had a legit app. .
  8. Outside a couple of weeks, today sums up our 22’/23’ winter. It’s 45 and drizzle .
  9. Maybe it’s me but our “warm ups” this season haven’t been all that warm IMO. We have had a few days in the 60’s, one or two in the 70’s but it seems like most of our temps have been 45-55 and cloudy. Might be me though. .
  10. I don’t 100% remember the year but I remember what you are talking about. Atlanta was a disaster that afternoon. .
  11. Yeah… they cut the totals to match their forecast. The issue is there’s no one to call them out on it. The Christmas storm they did something similar but it that case they actually admitted the totals at TYS were higher than what they wrote down in the books. Apparently the NWS has a specific time of day they measure for snow. Whatever that is at that particular time is “official”. The official was 2” but noted at TYS had 3.5” at one time before the official measurement was taken. That makes no sense at all. Seems like they would take hourly measurements for accuracy. .
  12. It blows my mind… it seems like we live in the only place in the world where the snow setup has to be perfect. Either 33 and rain or it won’t snow because it’s too dry. While DP’s are in the single digits in Canada and it snows for days. .
  13. Not sure it’s the same year but I remember at the first(ish) of January about 6-8 years ago mods were showing a major pattern change with arctic air. About 10 days out the mods started pushing it back a day. The cold front eventually went through in the middle of February. One of the most bizarre winters I can remember. .
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