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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    Today .
  2. PowellVolz
    SPC for 5/16 .
  3. PowellVolz
    Was gapped yesterday and it’s looking like most of the rain will stay just west of Knoxville. I’m not dry yet but this is heading in the wrong direction. .
  4. PowellVolz
    You have Covid now? ICU? .
  5. PowellVolz
    Got hit pretty good around Knoxville. Several hail reports and a few trees down, especially along the 75 corridor through Knox Co. I picked up about .75”. Some places got around an inch. Exactly what the Dr ordered .
  6. PowellVolz
    I’m worried about it. Winter/spring was about average on rain. I was realizing hoping for a really wet start to summer to help with vegetation/lawns. Picking up a moisture manager this week for my front yard. .
  7. PowellVolz
    I was reading the SE forum and they think MCS season is about to get going. Southerly flow at the surface with a NW flow aloft. Should have some buoyancy with a good mixed layer that will help lapse rates along with micro burst. Doesn’t take much shear, especially if there’s left over boundaries from other storms. Seems like it’s been a while since we’ve had a true bowling ball come through. .
  8. PowellVolz
    Haven’t been on the board much lately… any drought concerns going forward? .
  9. PowellVolz
    from Clingmans Dome Sunday around 8pm the temp was 28 degrees with 100% humidity. Web cam is a still shot but it looked like it was snowing. .
  10. PowellVolz
    Knoxville? .
  11. PowellVolz
    What a weird weather time we are in, been in. Last week in April and I’ll pull my window planters in because of the frost .
  12. PowellVolz
    I’m already seeing my fescue get some stressed areas. Not sure I’ve ever seen that this early. Guess I’ll apply my moisture manager now. .
  13. PowellVolz
    Some ULL type cells out there today, several hail reports down towards Blount/Knox/Sevier Co line. .
  14. PowellVolz
    .
  15. PowellVolz
    A friend of mine doing some insurance surveying in WTn is sending me some pictures. From everything I know these are site built homes. The first picture had one house there, the second picture had several homes that are now gone. I found it odd that the homes were wiped clean but the tree damage wasn’t what you would expect in at least EF3 damage. .
  16. PowellVolz
    There’s so many videos from LR that just blow my mind. People just out enjoying their day, riding around while there’s a 1/2 mile wide tornado right behind them. An hour before that meso ever started to produce, I texted several of my friends and told them if they know anyone in LR, tell them there’s a tornado going to hit somewhere in that town and it could be significant. A friend of mine said…. Let me text my cousin who lives there. 10 min later I get a reply saying, “my cousin said there isn’t any warnings out”. I texted him back and told him to tell his cousin to find shelter and stay there. 2 hours later I get a text back saying his cousin is fine. “I made him go home where he has a basement. His home was about two miles away from the storm so it’s fine but he’s a little shaken up because he was headed to his gym to workout and now it’s gone. He would have been there. I’m not going to lie… it bothered me a little that I helped someone I didn’t know who was about to be at the wrong place at the wrong time. .
  17. PowellVolz
    Holy smokes .
  18. PowellVolz
    20k in Knox Co without power .
  19. PowellVolz
    @Holston_River_Rambler did you get any damage this morning? Seen several reports on social media that Morgan Co had some significant damage. .
  20. PowellVolz
    TYS had 4 gusts this afternoon over 60mph. Not sure if it’s coincidence or something is up with their system but TYS has had the highest wind gusts in the valley in every one of these wind events this year. They had a couple in the 70’s last week and one back in February of 87 mph. I believe most of these happened with the LLJ mixing down outside of thunderstorms. .
  21. PowellVolz
    Just to add… I absolutely agree with the SPC talking about storms being sustained further east into ETn. Because the QLCS will be well developed beforehand, it doesn’t take much if any surface based instability to keep the strong vertical updrafts going. For example the last system that rolled through had zero surface based instability. I won’t be surprised if the slight and enhanced risks will expand east to include ETn. .
  22. PowellVolz
    ...Mid-South Vicinity... A concerning scenario appears to be developing across portions of the MO Bootheel, northeast AR, western TN/KY and far northwest MS vicinity during the afternoon/evening. At least mid-60s F dewpoints are expected beneath modest midlevel lapse rates. This will support 1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE amid intense vertical shear. Forecast soundings indicate 0-1 km SRH increasing to around 400 m2/s2 by early afternoon. Thunderstorms are expected to develop by early afternoon ahead of the cold front within a pre-frontal trough/low-level confluence zone. Storm motion near 50 kt with supercell wind profiles will support cells capable of significant and long-track tornadoes. With time, upscale growth into a QLCS is expected, and intense wind gusts will be possible in addition to mesovortex tornadoes. ...OH/TN Valley vicinity... Low-level moisture/instability will begin to wane with north and east extent into the nighttime hours. However forecast guidance has consistently shown a few hundred J/kg MLCAPE with little/no inhibition. Forecast guidance generally tends to under-forecast north/east extent of severe potential in strongly forced, intense shear system. As such, the ongoing outlook maintains a broad gradient from Enhanced to Slight risk across this region. Damaging gusts and a few QLCS tornadoes will be possible into the nighttime hours .
  23. PowellVolz
    Unfortunately it looks like weather is about to pick up in a bad way. .
  24. PowellVolz
    Hey I’m sorry I missed this. Tapatalk app has been messed up for a while now. Had to get their tech dept to repair my account. Where you able to get some seed down? .
  25. PowellVolz
    There must be a boundary right across Knoxville this morning. When I got up it was 51 at my house. 8 miles south of me in Knox it was 66 and breezy .
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