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Everything posted by PowellVolz
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Remind us what 15’ and 16’ winter was like? .
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Today was much warmer, maybe the warmest all season. 62 yesterday morning, 75 this morning and it hit you in the face when I walked out at 6:15am. .
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Pretty amazing what my lawn looks like for going into the middle of July. Hopefully we can finish out the summer without a prolonged dry spell. .
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Pretty incredible that Knoxville has had only 3 days of 90 or above so far this year. 2 of the 3 days where 90. On average Knox has around 35 days of 90 or more. .
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Been at the beach this week and missed all the fun back home. Hopefully we can continue riding the storm wave. .
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Lots of limbs, branches down across Knox Co but it doesn’t seem like there’s any significant damage. .
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Sun is out in Knoxville and we are pushing 80 degrees .
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I know the atmosphere has been turned over in ETn but If a well established MCS develops, it’s forward progress will maintain itself through ETn before it’s updraft is choked off. .
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MCS’s are so hard to predict their path but some of the latest CAM’s show more of a supercell look to them. I agree with @jaxjagman that the tornado threat should be a little more south into MTn. .
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Picked up around 3.5” of rain over the last several days. .
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Wow!!!!! .
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Storm just north of me wasn’t severe but man it looked ominous. Beautiful structure with a scud .
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52 at my house this morning. So strange but I live it. .
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I’m kinda surprised the Fentress Co tornado was just a EF1 considering how the CC drop looked. Obviously that area isn’t the greatest for radar coverage but I thought we might have a significant tornado on the ground at one point. Even after the tornado lifted, you could see the debris fan out to the NE in the cell. .
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Just to clarify… I can’t say 100% it’s “tornado forecast” but he promotes it like it’s his. .
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Obviously everyone knows Ryan Hall but I’ve paid good attention to his experimental tornado forecasts on twitter. Typically his forecasts are more aggressive than the SPC but I feel like he verifies well. Yesterday his forecast was much more aggressive than SPC and his outlook called a 15% props in ETn north of 40 into SE Kentucky while the SPC went 2%. Here’s his Twitter link if anyone is interested. .
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My Otto’s are going to survive but they look terrible. I probably should have trimmed them back but I wasn’t sure if that would be too much stress on them. I’ll wait till the fall and cut them back 50%. My Crept Myrtles trees are struggling but it looks like my neighbors Crept shrubs are fine. [emoji1745] .
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Pushing 2” of rain. Thank you Jesus. .
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Video I took .
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I’m not trying to toot my own horn or beat a dead horse but the theory I’ve talked about before about supercells that move mostly W to E in ETn seem to have more tornatic potential in our area than the traditional SW to NE storm motion. Hope everyone made it through ok. Got this picture from my upstairs bedroom that looks like a possible wall cloud. .
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Low temp this morning was 50, yesterday it was 52 and it’s Memorial Day weekend. What in the world is going on. Lol .
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2017 was terrible. It rained every weekend. Every time we had friends over to swim it rained. On the other hand, it was the only year I never put water down on my lawn and it never became stressed out. .
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From my house….. .
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I’ve talked about this before in my thoughts about ETn severe weather…. Storm movement today will be west to east or maybe even a little NW to SE. shear isn’t all that great but it’s just enough. The biggest thing with storm motion is the low and mid level winds will intersect the cells at a better angle because of the storm moving SE. .