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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    GFS Kuchera….hope it is ok to show .
  2. PowellVolz
    Not something we deal with much. I know the Christmas 2020 system was highly localized. I had around 6” in Halls but 10 min west of me in Powell had 2”. A friend in deep W Knoxville had almost 6”. My in laws in Union County, about 15 min away had an inch or so. .
  3. PowellVolz
    In a anafrontal system, is their elements that can enhance qpf that the mods don’t pickup on? NW flow, steep lapse rates, low level moisture, etc….? I’m assuming it could be rationed higher from cold 850’s? .
  4. PowellVolz
    Beautiful… you and John take great pictures .
  5. PowellVolz
    Friend in Jackson Tn is reporting sleet and snow. .
  6. PowellVolz
    Buddy in Jackson Tn is reporting sleet and snow. .
  7. PowellVolz
    If that was about an hour ago north of Knoxville I was in it. That’s where my wind gusts came from. Pretty wild actually .
  8. PowellVolz
    The wind is absolutely ripping it at my house. Just had a 42mph gust. That’s extreme for a NTSWG for my area. .
  9. PowellVolz
    How difficult is it for a system to form on the warm side of an arctic front and throw moisture back across the boundary? .
  10. PowellVolz
    Crazy how it’s only 29° on Beach Mt. .
  11. PowellVolz
    Following the season trend? https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1744750814021689745?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg .
  12. PowellVolz
    Already pushing 3” in Knoxville and this is on the way… .
  13. PowellVolz
    Wind Advisory issued for the Valley. .
  14. PowellVolz
    Here’s the Cove Mt opps for this interested. It’s a mountain wave site. 54mph gust https://www.nps.gov/subjects/air/current-data.htm?site=grsm&location=cove-mountain& .
  15. PowellVolz
    Well you know if it is accurate, that’s probably right on the ground. .
  16. PowellVolz
    Nothing wrong with tracking 7+ days with an active pattern and arctic air moving in makes this much different IMO. .
  17. PowellVolz
    I’m afraid that after tomorrow’s system completely clears the country, there could be a big swing for the Tuesday event for a day or so. We just need for whatever happens, happens after the front goes through. What the Euro showed earlier would break our spirits. .
  18. PowellVolz
    Seems like Euro is really bad about that. .
  19. PowellVolz
    Was Christmas 2020 anafrontal? What I remember the most is a few days later, WATE Ch 6 gave themselves an “A-“ critique of their forecast. They predicted 1” and parts of Knoxville (my area) ended up with around 6”. They said the trailing energy which produced 90% of the snow “came out of nowhere” and that’s why they missed it. [emoji23]….. the wave that rode the front was on the mods for days before. Cams were spitting out 3-6” at least 48 hours before it started. [emoji1750] .
  20. PowellVolz
    I’m afraid they will be wanting that day back sooner than later .
  21. PowellVolz
    Speaking of wind… turn the volume up!!! https://x.com/tomniziol/status/1744487070234448349?s=46&t=LVg8BRWCh1zZb6F_t95EVg .
  22. PowellVolz
    It’s just waves getting picked up in the flow. Similar to what can spark severe weather during the spring. .
  23. PowellVolz
    Oh boy .
  24. PowellVolz
    The control and operation are not on the same page. No reason to be worried at this point. .
  25. PowellVolz
    This is ugly for ETn but I’ll stick to my theory that you never want to be in the bullseye in the 5-7 day range. .
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