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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. PowellVolz
    I can only speak about the last couple of systems but the Euro has been pretty light on QPF in my area. Doesn’t mean it’s wrong though. .
  2. PowellVolz
    Yep… this would be the first system I have ever seen that didn’t trend any with 4-5 days left. .
  3. PowellVolz
    1/4” could bring 3-5”. .
  4. PowellVolz
    That’s a great idea .
  5. PowellVolz
    .
  6. PowellVolz
    Do we need a “memories” thread on here? I would love to hear people talk about personal experience with past storms. .
  7. PowellVolz
    Wonder if all that GOM convection is shutting return flow off? .
  8. PowellVolz
    How much QPF? .
  9. PowellVolz
    RGEM out to 84 .
  10. PowellVolz
    Downsloping shouldn’t be an issue other than with the frontal passage .
  11. PowellVolz
    This doesn’t match up with the accumulation map. This looks like a home run for the valley IMO. .
  12. PowellVolz
    Is the low snow total up the valley because of sleet or cold rain? .
  13. PowellVolz
    I was thinking it would be a bigger red flag if the Euro and GFS were on the same page at this point. .
  14. PowellVolz
    Looks like the storm moving through tomorrow has trended north just going by the SPC severe weather forecast .
  15. PowellVolz
    No idea If the Euro is right or wrong but if this was the euro from 5 years ago I would be more worried than I am. I still think we are a couple of runs away from being out of no man’s land and big swings tend to happen during this time. If a trend correction doesn’t happen in the next 24 I’d start to worry. Let’s not forget the last couple of rain events greatly over performed. .
  16. PowellVolz
    Wow. Incredible .
  17. PowellVolz
    I don’t see how a shallow warm layer at 800 is enough to change this to sleet. It wouldn’t take much dynamics at all to cool that layer down a degree or two and with low teens at the surface, it will also have strong forcing and terrain driven lift from beneath it. .
  18. PowellVolz
    Memphis morning disco… .
  19. PowellVolz
    Would snow on the ground to our NW change anything? Could the front have less drag and in return makes it further SE and could potentially suppress a GOM low if it’s there? .
  20. PowellVolz
    No one wants to be the kiss of death [emoji23] .
  21. PowellVolz
    .
  22. PowellVolz
    We still lost tonight and I guess it doesn’t matter but the last several years we would have lost by 20 tonight. Losing happens especially on the road but this team has great leadership and much more talent since Grant and Admiral. 3 players scored 64 of our 72pts. Gotta have someone off the bench give you 10 a game. Awaka had 4 and that’s all the bench scoring. That’s got to change .
  23. PowellVolz
    Seems like the trough digging a little more would potentially hold back energy a little longer. A lot of moving parts the last 24 hours. There’s been times in the past we wanted that dig to allow a better entry to the corner and room for a NW trend but I have no idea if that’s good or bad right now. .
  24. PowellVolz
    That ridge in the west taller? That’s good right? .
  25. PowellVolz
    Thank you Bro .
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